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Gold Editorials & Commentary

February 27, 2019

Albert Einstein once said:  “Few people are capable of expressing with equanimity opinions which differ from the prejudices of their social environment. Most people are incapable of forming such opinions." 

More than a decade after the 2008 financial crisis, U.S. monetary policy continues to operate in crisis management mode. Despite a long, drawn out rate-hiking campaign – now paused – the Federal Reserve has yet to bring its benchmark interest rate up to normal...

February 26, 2019

The biggest driver of major markets right now is the possibility of a US-China trade deal. The US government’s wild launch of tariff taxes caused global markets to swoon in the first half of 2018. Gold and the Chinese stock market were hurt more than a lot of other...

In my last article, “The Bears Have it Right: Economy went Polar Opposite of Bullish Predictions,” I laid out my first prediction for 2019 — a recession by summer. I don’t want the following revelations and facts that I have since come across to get lost in comments...

I don’t know if it was the intent of the Fed, but Jerome Powell has managed to trigger a rush into stocks more frenzied than the one that engulfed the last days of the dot.com/tech bubble. The vertical ascent since Christmas in the Dow/SPX is unprecedented on a...

For those of you that do not know me, my name is Avi Gilburt, and my job on our new market analysis site called FATrader.com is to make you think independently about the financial markets, with intellectual honesty being your guide.  

Barrick wants to buy Newmont. Trump wants a deal with China. Palladium wants to fly into space. And what does gold want?

– MMT: Modern monetary madness and pet economists. – Can this really be a thing? Actually printing money as an economic policy? – Begin structuring portfolios and lives to avoid being in a tunnel with an oncoming train.

February 25, 2019

Gold miners soared in the last few weeks, broke above their declining medium-term resistance line. The picture is therefore clearly bearish, right? Not so fast – if the outlook was bullish, miners should be leading gold higher, just like they did in 2016, and this...

The best performing metal this week was palladium, up 4.74 percent with platinum on its heels up 4.32 percent with the South African mining industry warning of a week-long strike threat. Gold makes a second consecutive weekly gain.

I’d love to tell you that bulls have been sniffing glue and that they are long overdue for a brutal comeuppance. However, it turns out they are anything but wild-eyed, and their expectations are relatively subdued.  AIAA’s most recent survey found that 35.3% of...

The Gold suppression game appears finally to be coming to an end. A Perfect Storm is hitting the Gold market, with an internal factor (QE), an external factor (SGE), and a systemic factor (Basel). These factors can be identified, each very powerful, each with a very...

Ayn Rand famously defended money. In Atlas Shrugged, Francisco D’Anconia says: “So you think that money is the root of all evil? . . . Have you ever asked what is the root of money? Money is a tool of exchange, which can’t exist unless there are goods produced and...

The broad stock market slightly extended its short-term uptrend on Friday following breaking above the recent consolidation. But will stocks continue higher despite some clear technical overbought conditions?

Two days after he started his first job in the Big Apple, Stephen Flood knew he had to quit. As a wide-eyed 21-year-old fresh out of a business course in Dublin, he had thumbed through The New York Times for a way to break into the high-flying world of the US...

February 24, 2019

This week, I might as well repeat what I said last week: “Hope that trade negotiations with China will bring some tangible results have kept the SPX in an uptrend for the past few days, but the technical picture shows a market which is on its last leg.

Mind you that Gold on this run has not recorded 24 consecutive up weeks: indeed seven of them have been down. But the overall weekly parabolic Long trend is now up for the 24th straight week. And as you regular readers know, that's sayin' something.

At week’s close the Dow Jones Index was within 3% of making a new all-time high in the Bear’s Eye View (BEV) chart below. Still, the stock market lacks the excitement most investors seek. But such excitement usually signals the end of a bull market, not its...

February 23, 2019

The year 2019 has started out with rallies in virtually everything—stocks, bonds, metals and even cryptocurrencies—as the spectre of a Friendly Fed has given rise to animal spirits of the most extreme nature.

On September 4th, 2018, we published an article forecasting that gold was about to start a strong rising trend. Please see: Gold’s Long-Term Trend: Up . At the time, gold was trading at 1206.70. Since then gold has risen to 1347.90. We presented several charts that...

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up. Gold sector is on a major sell signal, but that can change at month end if $HUI can close above 170.43. 

February 22, 2019

Here are today's videos and charts:

The gold miners’ stocks surged strongly this week, blasting to new upleg highs. The mounting gains are naturally driving more interest in this small contrarian sector, shifting sentiment towards bullish. Despite their accelerating rally, gold stocks still remain...

In the original (1960) classic movie The Magnificent Seven, a Western adaptation of Kurosawa's The Seven Samurai, Vin (Steve McQueen), tells the wry tale of a man who fell off a ten-story building. Passing each floor people heard him say, "So far, so good!"

Over in the gold patch things went from disinterested and downright antagonistic (A Notable Lack of Interest in Gold) to sleepy (Gold “Community” Crickets) to ferociously over bullish.

U.S. debt is now higher than the combined market value of the Fortune 500. The Fortune 500 list includes all the recognizable titans of American business from Apple to Amazon to Exxon-Mobil to the list’s ranking 500th spot, the uniform and laundry company Cintas....

It’s unimaginable what great progress China made in the last forty years. The rise of such economic power triggered many fears (or hopes) about the future international order. We invite you to read our today’s article about the rivalry between China and the US and...

February 21, 2019

The Year 2019 has started out with rallies in virtually everything – stocks, bonds, metals and even cryptocurrencies – as the spectre of a Friendly Fed has given rise to animal spirits of the most extreme nature. 

As Chairman Powell has been good at communicating the US central bank’s plans, the recent FOMC minutes do not contain too many surprises. In January, the Fed took investors by surprise, saying that it could be patient on interest rates.

There is an old Yiddish expression called a bubbe meise (pronounced my-seh). I guess the closest English interpretation of this expression would be a grandmother’s tale, or in the common vernacular, an old-wives' tale.

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In 1933 President Franklin Roosevelt signed Executive Order 6102 which outlawed U.S. citizens from hoarding gold.

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