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Gold Editorials & Commentary

July 9, 2018

Would you have appreciated a single number that could have given you a clear and unmistakable warning before the tech stock bubble collapsed? How about an unequivocal mathematical warning in 2006 that major financial trouble was on the way, well before the problems...

Before it collapsed, the city of Rome had a population greater than 1,000,000 people. That was an extraordinary accomplishment in the ancient world, made possible by many innovative technologies and the organization of the greatest civilization that the world had...

I know most are getting bulled up here, but I’m thinking we go lower into the 12th before rocketing higher in the stock market. Notice the 16 TD tops on the SPX on chart below!

– Italy is EU’s ticking timebomb as debt nears €2.4 trillion. – Italy’s GDP is just €1.85 trillion; National debt is 132% of economy. – Italy is politically dysfunctional at best of times; Now has populist left / right wing government. – National debt owed to other...

July 8, 2018

I update gold’s true fundamentals* every week in commentaries and charts at the TSI web site, but my most recent blog post on the topic was on 30th April. At that time the fundamental backdrop was gold-bearish, but there has since been a change.

In a week fraught with TradeTalk, TariffTiffs, better EconData, worse EconData, and an exchange halt StateSide for Independence Day, trading volume thinned across the BEGOS Markets (Bond Euro Gold Oil S&P) with one exception: Gold! Its contract volume for the...

July 7, 2018

According to some commentators on the gold standard, an increase in the supply of gold generates similar distortions as money out of “thin air” does. Let us start with a barter economy.

Long-term – on major buy signal. Short-term – on mixed signals. Gold sector cycle is up. COT data is supportive for overall higher metal prices. Conditions are now favorable for overall higher prices in coming weeks and months. We are holding gold related ETFs for...

July 6, 2018

Gold has been afflicted by relentless selling over the past few weeks or so, forcing it to major lows. While summer-doldrums weakness is typical, gold’s recent drop is on the large side even for this time of year. It was fueled by truly-extreme short selling by gold...

President Donald Trump’s “America First” trade policies are upending decades of global arrangements and entanglements. Globalists are aghast that the leader of the free world is openly confrontational toward NAFTA, NATO, the European Union, United Nations, and World...

The short-term forecast for gold is clear: the metal is set to move higher. Gold has just put in an intermediate low at $1,238 per ounce as of July 3, 2018. Several leading indicators point to an imminent recovery in prices over the next 1-3 months.

June was hot for the central banks. The Federal Reserve lifted the federal funds rate for the second time this year, while the European Central Bank announced that it would end its bond purchase program by the end of 2018. It would mean another step towards...

Dealing with markets is more about psychology than it is about anything else.  So, let’s begin this weekend’s analysis with a discussion of the psychology of the gold and silver market.

The HUI along with most of the other PM stock indexes are at a critical point right here and now. Below is a combo chart we’ve following which has the UUP (The US Dollar Index ETF) on top and the HUI on the bottom.

In this final episode of the Keiser Report from Paris, France, Max and Stacy discuss if a genuine trade war has erupted between China and the U.S. and look at nations, including Russia, stockpiling gold and also cover our recent market update (June 21): Russia Buys...

July 5, 2018

The impressive reversal in gold last Monday, which appeared to occur during the Asian and European trading sessions as opposed to the Crimex pit session, it looks like the precious metals are adhering to the well-broadcasted seasonality trade that has been fraught...

Beginning in 2010, central banks around the world turned from being net sellers of gold to net buyers of gold. Last year official sector activity rose 36 percent to 366 tonnes – a substantial increase from 2016.

On June 26 we provided an antidote to some media hysterics about a “Death Cross” in gold. On that same day we had an NFTRH update (still password protected, but below is the screenshot of the intro) illustrating for subscribers a developing positive risk vs. reward...

An Irish farmer from County Donegal has discovered gold artefacts believed to be an ancient currency or money thousands of years old and from pre-history. Norman Witherow uncovered the gold objects on Saturday when he was digging a drain in a field

Despite its lack of bullish fundamentals and the poor price action, Gold is now technically oversold and has reached strong support with sentiment approaching potentially extreme levels. The conditions are in place for a rally. That being said, bearish sentiment by...

July 3, 2018

It has been a painful start to the summer for gold traders and investors, particularly for yours truly. Though we anticipated the correction that began back in April, we never fully expected it to extend for as long and as deep as it has run.

Beginning in early Spring, gold and silver faced two serious headwinds: Seasonality – that is, the annual decline in bullion demand from China and India once wedding season ends – and the internal structure of the futures markets, where the big players in gold had...

Charts don’t make fundamentals, but fundamentals do make charts. That’s because market fundamentals create liquidity flows. Those liquidity flows create technical action on the charts.

What a fall! The price of gold dropped about $100 since mid-April, or about $50 since mid-June. What is happening in the precious metals market?

“The Law of Long-Term Time Preference – Those who plan, invest and execute long-term win. Win-win decisions, looking to thelong term with short-term work and sacrifice, are historically the tickets to success in all areas of life – short-term sacrifice for long-term...

The world is standing at the edge of the financial abyss while most investors are entirely in the dark.  However, specific indicators suggest the market is one giant RED BLINKING LIGHT.  One of these indicators is the amount of margin debt held by investors.  What...

Even the best day of the year for stocks in the United States struggled to pull this market into better shape. While summer is a down period overall for stocks, July 2nd holds the position of being historically the most bullish day of all for the S&P 500. Why?...

That’s the message the U.S. government shared with the world last week, giving importers until November 4 to cut their consumption of Iran’s crude to zero—or expect sanctions. The threat comes a month after President Donald Trump withdrew the U.S. from the Obama-era...

July 2, 2018

Ever since breaking below the 30-week moving average in late 2016 gold and gold stocks have been in a sideways trading range unable to resume their uptrend.  Gold and gold stocks have had three things working against them during this time frame:  weak commodity...

The best performing metal this week was palladium, down just 0.27 percent on a positive recommendation by Morgan Stanley based on deficit market supply. Gold traders and analysts became bearish this week according to the Bloomberg weekly survey as gold fell to its...

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