TRADING THOUGHTS
from THE VALUE VIEW GOLD REPORT
Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS
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Clearly the U.S. dollar's rally has broken down. Only the deluded mouse clickers at the hedge funds had believed the dollar was beginning something new. Continued weakness in U.S. dollar will be supportive of both metals.
Official holdings of U.S. Debt at Federal Reserve rose modestly, year-to-year change fell to $209 billion. Lower than last plot on chart in monthly letter. Suggests further loss of interest in dollar assets by foreign institutions. Gold has moved to an over bought condition, as expected. This action will be the beginning of the development of the new pattern into which Gold is moving.
Silver clearly has moved out of old lateral pattern in which it had been trapped. That set of trades now becomes support . Over bought condition building. Again, they help to identify the new pattern for Silver. Both metals could weaken next week as they try to find the bottom edge of new trading channels. That price action can be used to add to positions should it be significant.
Recommendation: New positive patterns developing for both metals. Hold for higher prices. Your Eternal Optimist; |
Ned W. Schmidt, CFA,CEBS
Click to email me: nwschmidt@earthlink.net
February 20, 2005
Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS is publisher of THE VALUE VIEW GOLD REPORT. That report now includes a weekly message, TRADING THOUGHTS, to help investors identify timely points for buying Gold and Silver. You can join him for the Gold Super Cycle at http://home.att.net/~nwschmidt/Order_Gold_EMonthlyTT.html His monumental report, "$1,265 GOLD", which has now been read in 12 countries, has 255 pages and 98 graphs, is available at www.amazon.com or from the author. Ned welcomes your comments and questions. His mission in life is to rescue investors from the abyss of financial assets and the coming collapse of the U.S. dollar. He can be contacted at nwschmidt@earthlink.net.
http://home.att.net/~nwschmidt/Order_Gold_EMonthlyTT.html