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Gold & Silver Trading Thoughts

Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS

THE VALUE VIEW GOLD REPORT

TRADING THOUGHTS is about what the name in implies. The purpose of this publication is to promote timely and profitable trading of precious metals. We do not believe every turn in the market can b e called. Our goal is that our recommendations should be profitable. These goals are not the same. Profits are the goal. Trades are not the goal. DO NOT EXPECT ALL RECOMMENDATIONS TO BE PROFITABLE. No system can achieve that lofty goal. TRADING THOUGHTS is not intended to be a lengthy news letter filled with witty comments. The goal is simply to state whether conditions in the precious metal's market are favorable or not. Traders are advised that unless they have exceptional experience not to trade against the basic trend. Trades against market trend not expected to be as productive as those with trend.

Basic Trend: Gold: Up Investors should focus on Buy signals. Strategy: Positive, per Investment Policy of Oct 2004. Investment Policy: Looking for buy signals, and holding long-term core position.

While out and about this weekend, thank any SUV drivers one meets. Any cars with " save the planet" stickers should be greeted with a wave. Thanks to all of those " energy ostriches," price of oil slowly workings its way toward $70. Delta Airlines will apparently be first casualty. Impact on rosy, phony employment numbers? Who next?

The glorious picture in the first chart to the right is certainly one that should make the heart of any Gold investor flutter. Friday's action pushed the price of Gold up, out of the lateral pattern in which it had been t rapped. Yeah! Hurrah! Wow! Go for it!

That movement out of the lateral pattern confirms that trend has returned to the positive mode. While ending the week overbought as the short s had their " shorts" squeezed, some retracement is likely in the coming week. Let Gold price settle before buying due to over bought condition. A little consolidation is likely, and then on to new highs.

That smell in the background is that of a Gold bull market. While the stock groupies fret over their Dell delusion this weekend, the Gold bugs can relax and reflect on coming profits.

Basic Trend: Silver: Up Investors should focus on Buy signals. Strategy: Positive, Per Investment P ol i cy of October 2004 Investment Policy: Emphasize Buys

Silver is a little behind Gold at this moment. Note same lateral pattern exists in Silver. A short-term buy lat e this past week suggests that Silver is preparing to also move out of the lateral pattern. Given that Silver is over sold, a move upward is possible to catch up with Gold.

The next rally should take out $7.50, and the top of the lateral pattern. T raders will be drawn to Silver. That will set the stage for taking out last year' s high before Labor Day. $9 Silver is still expected before a year end.

Recommendation: Sell Dell stock, and buy Silver this week. Gold buyers should wait for consolidation. Hold Gold and Silver for higher prices, and profits!




Ned W. Schmidt, CFA,CEBS

Click to email me: nwschmidt@earthlink.net

August 15, 2005



Ned W. Schmidt,CFA,CEBS is publisher of THE VALUE VIEW GOLD REPORT. That report now includes a weekly message, TRADING THOUGHTS, to help investors identify timely points for buying Gold and Silver. You can join him for the Gold Super Cycle at http://home.att.net/~nwschmidt/Order_Gold_EMonthlyTT.html His monumental report, "$1,265 GOLD", which has now been read in 12 countries, has 255 pages and 98 graphs, is available at www.amazon.com or from the author. Ned welcomes your comments and questions. His mission in life is to rescue investors from the abyss of financial assets and the coming collapse of the U.S. dollar. He can be contacted at nwschmidt@earthlink.net.

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