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Gold Editorials & Commentary

February 7, 2024

The most attractive gold juniors are those with assets in established mining jurisdictions, preferably in close proximity, and on trend, to mines operated by the majors.

Huge breakouts in markets are accompanied by long bases and very low volatility. Gold is in a long base and its volatility indicators remain in position for Gold to move explosively if it breaks $2100.

I have written that the commercial real estate market could be the next thing to pop in this bubble economy and that could lead to the next major financial crisis.

February 6, 2024

Can pigs fly? Perhaps they can, but with US stock markets soaring and wage pressures intensifying, it’s very hard to see the Fed engaging in aggressive rate cuts.

After writing publicly for over 13 years, I have come to notice that the landscape has very much changed. There were many through the years that have attempted to take me to task for my differing perspective on the market.

The best performing precious metal for the week was gold, rising 0.86%. With the odds being roughly even that the Fed would start cutting interest rates at its next meeting in March, gold came out of the gate on Monday well bid.

In the last few weeks we have been allowing for, even anticipating a renewed bout of inflation concerns as the yield curve (10-2) steepens, nominal yields had dropped significantly to support and now finally CME traders lunge to the ‘no cut’ view for the March FOMC...

The probability of interest rate cuts has many market participants pondering whether 2024 will bring a bull market for precious metals. Gold has held up quite well despite the Fed’s tightening cycle, gaining 13% in 2023.

Most mainstream economists believe the application of quantitative methods on historical data can explain the state of the economy. Others such as Ludwig von Mises held that the data utilized by economists is a historical display, which by itself cannot provide the...

Economics always wins. Ask UPS workers. The shipping giant recently announced plans to lay off 12,000 employees, citing a forecast for weaker shipping demand in 2024. The company said the downsizing will save about $1 billion in employee costs.

The Federal Reserve’s most recent policy statement came with a curious omission. Fed officials removed language from previous statements that proclaimed “the U.S. banking system is sound and resilient.”

February 5, 2024

Gold has important short-term support at $2000 and Silver does at $22. If the metals lose those levels then there could be more selling. However, it could setup a significant low before the spring.

The situation in gold and gold stocks is not stagnant. Something shifted. And the implications are not minor.

Here are a couple of headlines concerning the economy that appeared atop Bloomberg’s front page on the same day last week. Taken together, they could make one’s head spin.

As the mess we have as our national debt climbs and interest on the debt becomes one of our biggest mandatory expenses, who do we pay interest to, and how do we pay it?

Unemployment continues to flounder along the bottom, in my opinion still carving out a low before an economic counter-cycle to come. But copious amounts of patience are required on this and many other financial/economic signals.

To prevent public debt from soaring in the wake of the global financial crisis in 2009, Germany has enshrined a “debt brake” in its constitution. The debt brake sets strict limits on federal public debt levels and restrains government borrowing.

David Skarica talks about his investment philosophy, Gold’s potential and maximum pessimism in the gold stocks and junior gold stocks.

February 4, 2024

When we last left you a week ago, (albeit given the website’s daily updating we never really leave), we were eying Gold as languishing on a weekly basis, but on a daily basis ’twas set for some bounce. 

The Dow Jones continues making new all-time highs / BEV Zeros; four more this week.  I’m not going to argue with success, the stock market is going up, or at least the Dow Jones is, as well as some of the other major-market indexes.

After a sluggish January for precious metals, gold and silver markets saw a rally during the first day of February trading, only to see it reverse here today on the 2nd day of the month, after a strong U.S. jobs report, to continue the lackluster performance we’ve...

February 3, 2024

Gold sector cycle is down. Trend is up for gold and gold stocks, and down for USD.

Where there’s fire, there’s smoke. And there is definitely smoke in the U.S. banking system. The mainstream consensus is that the Federal Reserve successfully raised interest rates, slayed the inflation monster, and did it without breaking anything in the economy....

In a compelling episode of "Commodity Culture" hosted by Jesse Day, Stefan Gleason, CEO of Money Metals Exchange and chairman of the Sound Money Defense League, provided an insightful overview of the initiatives aimed at reinstating gold and silver as constitutional...

February 2, 2024

Precious metals and miners toppled after huge gains in employment: January non-farm payrolls jumped 353,000 versus the expected 180,000. The Fed confirmed it was done hiking on Wednesday, but Powell pushed back on the potential for rate cuts. 

Gold price rallied this week, and this got many heads turning. Rightfully so? Let’s check the details and see what really happened. Having said that, let’s take a look at gold’s rally.

Gold powered higher this week right through a surprisingly-hawkish FOMC meeting, a bullish omen.  The FOMC statement had big changes arguing for higher rates for longer.  Then the Fed chair himself poured cold water on traders’ high expectations for an initial rate...

Here are today's videos and charts. The videos are viewable on mobile phones as well as computers. Double-click to enlarge the charts. 

SGS Key Charts, Signals, & Video Analysis

As FOMC rides into the sunset until March, the US Dollar index is left to fend for itself amid the hawkish (or at least not yet dovish) echos of Jerome Powell’s assertion that the market should not expect rate cuts in March. Well duh, we know that already, sir.

The Federal Reserve held its latest policy meeting yesterday, followed by another press conference from Fed chair Jerome Powell.

Gold IRA eBook

In 1933 President Franklin Roosevelt signed Executive Order 6102 which outlawed U.S. citizens from hoarding gold.

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