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Gold Editorials & Commentary

May 18, 2017

The financial markets have already “priced in” huge tax cuts, reducing red tape regulations and a massive increase in infrastructure spending. Perhaps, the markets are now believing that the agenda is not going to occur with Al Green asking for Trump impeachment?  ...

The operating paradigm has been relatively straightforward in the financial world that we live in.  The Federal Reserve (FED) sets monetary policy in terms of interest rates and new money creation, and does so in an attempt to influence the financial markets and...

Tech is the umbrella word for all things fashionable to invest in right now. Take the recent flotation of Snap Inc. (parent company of teen and narcissists’ favourite app SnapChat), everyone wanted in on the $20 billion flotation.

2016 was supposed to be the year that the Federal Reserve "normalized" its policies. As much as two years ago — after years of a near-zero target rate — the Fed was swearing that it would begin to raise rates back to "normal" levels and cut its balance sheet. 

May 17, 2017

Gold prices rose for a fifth day to a two week high in early European trading on increasing US political risk pertaining to the Trump Presidency and the increasing risk of impeachment and a US political civil war.

May 16, 2017

Featured is a chart that compares the EURO to the US dollar.  When the trend is rising, it means the Euro is stronger than the US dollar and vice versa.  History tells us that gold has a tail wind when the trend here is upward bound, and a head-wind when the trend...

For the last five years, crude oil has been behaving a little differently than it has in the past. At least that’s the takeaway from the chart below, based on the Moore Research Center’s analysis of oil’s seasonal trading patterns. Note that the index on the left...

The $USD/Yen prop is now actively being pulled. For two weeks straight “somebody” was pinning stocks by ramping the $USD/ Yen pair. You can see the tight correlation between the two in the chart below.

Cyber wars are a bigger threat to humanity than nuclear weapons, the world’s richest and most famous investor Warren Buffett, presciently warned a few days ago.

May 15, 2017

Here at the outset, I want to share with you an interesting observation we made last week of gold’s seasonal trading pattern. As you can see in the chart below, based on data provided by Moore Research Center, the five-year pattern, represented by the orange line,...

Former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s book titled “The Courage to Act” is now available in paperback. This isn’t a surprise because, after all, his proclivity to print paper encompasses the totality of what his courage to act was all about. The errors in logic made in...

On May 7, Marine Le Pen's defeat in France's presidential election secured an integrated EU and had many investors breathing a sigh of relief. Had the election gone her way, French workers could have seen the devaluation of their euro-denominated pensions if Le Pen...

–Cyberattacks expected to spread today in “second phase” –UK intelligence says scale of threat significant. –Microsoft slams NSA for letting hacking tools cause global malware epidemic. –Ransomware attack already crippled more than 200,000 computers in 150 countries...

Market Overview: “SPX is poised to reach the high of the B-wave, perhaps by making it to the 2410 alternate projection…” In fact, the high of the move came last Monday, falling short of 2410 by six points.  Whether or not this is the top of the B-wave remains to be...

May 14, 2017

Welcome to another weekend. The time is ticking by! And these price structures are developing slowly, but nicely all the same. Let’s dig into it! EURUSD has traced out a possible five waves to the downside this week. The price broke support at 1.0850 for a brief...

1231, 1211, 1190. Those are the three gold levels we offered a week ago as to how low price may go in its present down-flow. We'd already just eclipsed the 1231 level in settling last week at 1228. Then as the above panel shows in settling this week yesterday (...

Since its last all-time high seen on March 1st, the Dow Index has yet to break lower than -3.5% from it, or make a new all-time high.  It’s a boring market.  Something in me wants to see some excitement on Wall Street.  But something else tells me I may not like it...

May 13, 2017

Not much action from markets as most heavy hitting stocks have reported already. Having seen the most heavily weighted stocks report already takes away the earnings surprise strength, which has helped keep markets looking great, especially the Nasdaq.

For many years now, thousands of bloggers, writers, and such have chronicled the debacle that is the US economy. It is a joke. That fact has been well-established. We can liken it to a cancer. Not every section is influenced in the same manner or degree of severity...

Long-term – on major buy signal. Short-term – on mixed signals. Gold sector cycle is down. A major consolidation is in progress. We are holding some positions for long-term gains. 

May 12, 2017

The gold miners’ stocks have been slammed by a sharp gold pullback in recent weeks, spawning today’s bearish sentiment.  Traders often get caught up in the emotional swings generated by this volatile sector.  But once a quarter earnings season arrives, revealing...

An email from a reader calling me out on trying to make too many correlations in a dysfunctional market (I think that was his bottom line point, and he’s got a good point) got me thinking about the Silver/Gold ratio and some pretty interesting post-2011 dysfunction...

Storing incredibly valuable precious metals securely has been a problem since man first coveted them. Pharaohs’ tombs in Egypt have been robbed of their gold and other valuables for centuries. Wars have been fought over them. Castles and fortresses have been built...

Thomson Reuters GFMS have compiled an interesting high level history of the gold industry in the last fifty years. Topics covered and interesting historical facts to note include: – Gold market size. –Gold mine production “peaked in 2015” – South African production...

May 11, 2017

Central bankers are managing paper currencies for the benefit of the people, not the financial and political elite. Consequently consumer prices are stable and there is no reason to own gold as protection from currency devaluations.

Most Americans didn’t realize it, but something BIG changed in the U.S. gold market in the beginning of 2017.  While precious metals sentiment and buying in the U.S. has dropped off considerably in the first quarter of 2017, the East continues to acquire gold, HAND...

Sound money advocates scored a major victory today when the Arizona state senate voted 16-13 to remove all income taxation of precious metals at the state level. The measure heads to Governor Doug Ducey, who is expected to sign it into law.

May 10, 2017

Over the past three weeks, approximately 11 trading days, silver has suffered one of the longest downward spirals in a great many years and some have even argued this is the longest ever. I try not to look a gift horse in the mouth and simply use this manipulated...

Based on Time and Price action I am seeing, I am expecting the next Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL) for gold and PM’s either in mid-May (this week or next?) or it could move into mid-June. Why the one month variation? That is about the time needed for one of gold’s...

May 9, 2017

Gold has arrived at the $1220 support zone. Note the position of the Stochastics oscillator at the bottom of the chart.  Significant rallies tend to begin from the current position. Since Indian dealer stocking for the Akha Teej festival peaked a few weeks ago, gold...

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