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Gold Editorials & Commentary

September 20, 2016

The world is about 24 hours away from key BOJ and Fed meetings that could create a sea change in global markets. Strong handed gold investors don’t appear to be worried about the BOJ and Fed meetings, and with good reason; a rate hike from the Fed would create panic...

I have been advised many, many times that I would suffer a lot less seething hostility from co-workers, neighbors and family members (including the one, not mentioning any names, that promised to love, honor, ‘til death do us part with this ring I thee wed blah blah...

We are well along in the precious metals correction…and have downside targets for gold, silver and the miners. In order for that to be a ‘buy’, the sector and macro fundamentals will need to be in order. Some of those are represented by the gold ratio charts vs....

Gold, silver, and their stocks will either rally considerably, or incredibly, depending upon central bank insanity, more QE, helicopter money, accidents, and currency devaluations. Remember, Argentina hyperinflated over one trillion to one, compared to the US dollar...

Central banks have got the economy and markets covered. They know what they’re doing. Their theories are backed up by decades of academic research and expert advice.

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren recently rattled markets when he warned that low-interest rates were increasing the temperature of the US economy, which now runs the risk of overheating. That sunny opinion was echoed by several other Federal Reserve officials...

Harvard professor and economist Ken Rogoff is once again leading the chorus of high-level academics and officials who declare cash is only for criminals. He made his case in a recent Wall Street Journal editorial called the “Sinister Side of Cash.” The solution, he...

September 19, 2016

The consumer price index (CPI), a measure of inflation, came in hotter than expected Friday, registering 2.3 percent year-over-year in August on expectations of 2.0 percent. With the five-year Treasury yielding 1.19 percent, government bond investors are now...

The Fascist Business Model incorporates all the worse elements of Keynesian economics, a broken fallacious school of thought. The model also integrates a vast system of economic heresy, put forth as public address dogma. All their messages are wrong. They are...

The purpose of this update is to point out that the PM sector correction may be completing RIGHT NOW, with sector indices at the 2nd low of a potential Double Bottom. Whether it is or not depends on the outcome of next week’s Fed meeting – if they announce a rate...

US is headed toward stagflation - We’re not in a stable equilibrium. It’s a good time for Gold and Silver!

The best-performing precious metal for the week was palladium, down slightly by 0.41 percent. In an overall down week for the precious metals sector, palladium remained flattish. Following the release of disappointing U.S. economic data Friday morning, which reduces...

The Fed is running a virtual repeat of 1937. The common narrative is that the Fed “didn’t do enough” during the Great Depression. This is used to justify the Fed’s use of non-stop extraordinary monetary policy post-2008. But it’s a total lie.

The short-term technical picture is a mixture of positives and negatives. We must wait for a clearer indication of the market’s intention - and this should come over the next few days.

September 18, 2016

My long-term projection to the $2150 level is still operative. However, the short and intermediate-term look decidedly grim. Unfortunately, gold will track up or down depending more on world politics than any fundamental considerations. Trying to predict what’s...

The ‘usual’, also called the ‘new normal’ is persisting despite some thoughts that the game rules will have changed now that September is the month. The DJIA is not allowed to decline below 18000 without some serious expenditure of effort – and, presumably, dollars...

We opened last week's missive by highlighting Gold's having risen, what was then, for the ninth week of the prior 13. Now given this week's 19-dollar slide, 'tis of course risen in nine of the prior 14. Still on balance, fairly stout stuff. In fact, were Gold to...

There was some excitement on Tuesday. The Dow Jones was down 1.41% and the NYSE saw a day of extreme breadth (more on that below). But the Dow Jones recovered from its early week losses, and ended the week higher than last Friday’s close. The question in my mind...

September 17, 2016

Over the past few weeks a number of Fed officials, including Fed Chair Janet Yellen, have mused about an interest rate hike at the September FOMC that takes place next week, on September 20-21, 2016. The interest rate decision comes out around 2 pm EST on September...

Several central banks, including the Bank of England, the People’s Bank of China, the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve, are exploring the concept of issuing their own digital currencies, using the blockchain technology developed for Bitcoin. Skeptical...

Gold has been moving sideways and is still within a multi-month consolidation pattern since early July. There was no reason to chase gold. Yet nothing to worry about it neither. Instead I think this will come to an end rather soon!

Gold sector is on a major buy signal. Cycle is down. Investors stay patient and wait for the correction to complete, then cost average in at the next cycle bottom. Silver is on a long term buy signal. Short term is on sell signal. Silver is in a correction and can...

Stocks suffered a very choppy weak as we enter the seasonally 6-8 week weak stretch. I’m expecting lots of volatility with a few trades. Moreover, I’ll also be looking for dip buys when they come. However, we may not see a nice trend higher until November or later...

September 16, 2016

Gold’s young bull market has totally stalled out in the past couple months. This major loss of momentum following gold’s powerful surges in 2016’s first half is really souring sentiment and vexing traders. They are trying to figure out if gold’s recent...

Quantitative Easing (QE) is a risk. Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) is a big risk. Governments using the threat of terrorism as an excuse to dramatically increase their own powers and reduce individual freedom is a huge risk. X hundred trillion dollars of...

September 15, 2016

We are accustomed to looking at Europe’s woes in a purely financial context. This is a mistake, because it misses the real reasons why the EU will fail and not survive the next financial crisis. We normally survive financial crises, thanks to the successful actions...

The markets don’t like uncertainty – and that’s what we’ve got until the next Fed meeting on 20th – 21st of this month, a week from now. So despite various Fed regional governors trying to talk the market up in the meantime, there is likely to be a downward bias. On...

Stocks looked shaky on the close Wednesday, having failed to muster the short-squeeze rally we’ve come to expect in the final hour or so of every session. If the broad averages continue to fall, Ricks Picks subscribers will be well prepared. Many reported legging...

Buy gold as bonds are in the “biggest bubble in the world” and it “a very dangerous time in the global economy” according to billionaire investor, Paul Singer.

As big as previous real estate and stock market bubbles have been, the current global bubble in government debt dwarfs them all. Not only is it far bigger in size and scope (some $60 trillion in sovereign bonds now trade globally); it is also unprecedented in...

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