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Gold Editorials & Commentary

January 24, 2019

– Investors need a ‘Plan B’ to protect against Brexit, currency, property and other risks. – Brexit uncertainty is impacting Irish and UK consumers, companies and economy. – London home asking prices slump below £600,000: Lowest since 2015 but still very over valued...

January 23, 2019

Billionaire Sam Zell just announced that he bought gold for the very first time in his life because, as he puts it, “it is a good hedge.” In a recent Bloomberg interview, the Equity International founder and creator of the real estate investment trust (REIT)...

Last week, we discussed our outlook for 2019 and the factors that will soon drive price to multi-year highs, and eventually, new all-time highs. This week, let's take stock of the current situation and attempt to discern the direction of price in the near term.

The world faces some very serious ecological challenges due to the pollution, destruction and over consumption of our natural resources. Climate change is just one of the challenges facing us, but tends to be focused on almost exclusively alas –  to the detriment of...

Gold finally broke below the triangle pattern and confirmed multiple medium-term bearish signals that we previously saw. Gold is the flagship metal of the precious metals sector, so the above is an important indication for the short term. However, the most important...

Well, the title of the IMF’s update is telling: “A Weakening Global Expansion”. The global economy is projected to grow at 3.5 percent this year, 0.2 percentage point below last October’s projections and estimated performance in 2018.

January 22, 2019

Palladium might not fill headlines the way gold does, but it’s been on fire lately. Not only has the precious metal been the best performing commodity for two years straight, but its price also just shot past gold for the first time since 2001. For the first time...

The best performing metal this week was palladium, up 4.36 percent on acute supply tightness. JPMorgan sees additional upside to the price despite weaker auto sales. Gold traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg remain bullish on the yellow metal for a 10th...

An Arizona legislator has put forward a bill to de-risk the state’s financial holdings with a modest allocation to physical gold and silver in the state’s reserve fund.

As a member of the British parliament in 1999, Sir Peter Tapsell, who passed away this past August, argued vigorously to keep the government from selling off over half of the country’s gold reserves. Previously, in the 1980s, Tapsell had managed a gold bullion fund...

Last week, we joked that we don’t challenge beliefs. Here’s one that we want to challenge today: the dollar doesn’t work as a currency, because it’s losing value. Even the dollar’s proponents, admit it loses value. The Fed itself states that its mandate is price...

Is the price correction in gold already over? I told investors to prepare for a modest and healthy correction from the $1300 area, and that’s happened.

– Outlook for gold in 2019: IG TV Victoria Scholar interviews GoldCore. – Given Brexit & Trump risk, trade wars & fragile economic growth, gold may gain 20%-25% in 2019

Increasingly, my view of all of the action in ES (e-mini March S&P futures contract) from the Dec 25 electronic Christmas Day low at 2316.75 into last Friday's (Jan 18) high at 2677.75 (+15.6%) represents three distinct psychological phases of market influence,...

Having watched Van Helsing I thought "There must be a way to work this stuff into chart analysis" and there is, for tomorrow night there is a "Super Blood Wolf Moon Eclipse" which might synchronize with a reversal in the markets.

January 20, 2019

Last week we discussed the difference between a rally and bull market. Gold stocks have been in a rally. That rally is now over as gold stocks peaked at their 400-day moving averages days ago and sliced through their 200-day moving averages Friday.

Friday Morning Comment: “Trade talk optimism, options expiration, a three-day week-end, and a Bradley turn date!  That’s a powerfully bullish combination which undoubtedly generated massive short-covering rather than genuine buying when legitimate projections were...

Opening note: with respect to the above Gold Scoreboard we've upgraded the line colours to make them more visibly distinct, the thrust of the overall picture rather cynically showing us that Gold's price these past few years hasn't materially gone anywhere in spite...

I’m back from my three-week vacation, three weeks where the market began feeling Mr. Bear’s hot breath on the back of its neck in late December, to now where people can once again anticipate new all-time highs in the Dow Jones Index.

January 19, 2019

It has been a while since I have written a public article. The current set up is just too intriguing not to write about. Therefore, let me cut to the chase. The stock market peak of October 3, 2018 and subsequent drop into Dec 26 is not over, not by any measure that...

On the one hand, it is closest to breaking the channel since it has been in November to the downside. This would obviously be bearish, especially if support at the prior low of 1278 is taken out. Momentum indicators such as the RSI and both MACDs have already turned...

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up. Gold sector is on a major sell signal. GLD is on short-term sell signal. XGD.to is on short-term sell signal. GDXJ is on short-term sell signal.

January 18, 2019

Here are today's videos and charts.

Gold investment demand reversed sharply higher in recent months, fueling a strong gold rally.  The big stock-market selloff rekindled interest in prudently diversifying stock-heavy portfolios with counter-moving gold.  These mounting investment-capital inflows into...

Here is my Chart of the Day Friday summary (just 4 this week!) covering markets, technicals, sectors and stocks I am interested in. You can find these on Linkedin too, so please connect with me there for daily content updates. You can click on each chart title below...

The three legs that supported gold’s extended rally from just after the 2008 global recession until the all-time peak in 2011 may be making something of a comeback this year.

Since December gold (light blue line) has outperformed the average stock (dark blue) by a nice margin.

Leaving aside our usual inclusion of macro fundamentals and market ratios, today let’s take a simple technical look at the S&P 500 and gold.

January 17, 2019

Never in our lifetimes has American politics been so marked by division and dysfunction. The longest partial government shutdown in history occurred after the Democrat-controlled Congress wouldn’t compromise with President Trump on a border wall. The impasse is but...

71 days. That’s all that separates us from the Brexit deadline. And the UK has still no clear path forward exiting the EU. Does gold have one? Today's analysis features possible scenarios for the UK and for gold along with their likelihood. In the current political...

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China is the world’s biggest gold producer with more than 355 tons annually. Australia is second.

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