Gold Editorials & Commentary

In last weekend's article entitled, “SPX: New All-Time Highs or Bust?” we discussed an expected powerful resistance level in the S&P 500. Price strength from the December low was nearing an important 76.4% Fibonacci level in its recovery -- the level of 2803.50...

In our February 22nd, 2019 article “A Corrective Decline Approaching within Gold’s Long-term Rising Trend,” we noted that Gold was due for a correction soon. That decline started immediately, taking Gold down almost 60 points to a low of 1,280 on March 7th, 2019.

Gold is doing pretty darn well following its 24-week up run having turned down two weeks ago (as measured by the weekly parabolic trend). The two supportive areas to which we've repeatedly referred -- The Whiny 1290s and The Box (1280-1240) -- are thus far doing...

The Dow Jones Index continues correcting, closing this week below its -5%BEV line in the BEV chart below.  Time to panic?  Well, in a bear market the first loss is always the best loss; meaning it’s best to panic early and sell everything before everyone else does...

Summary: Long-term – on major sell signal. Short-term – on sell signals. Gold sector cycle is up, and the recent pullback has found support at the 50/200ema. Maintain positions and stay the course. 

The European Central Bank surprised financial markets yesterday with moves to loosen monetary policy. The prospects for growth in the euro zone have dimmed lately, and policy was going to be tweaked at some point unless things picked up. But a change wasn’t expected...

Here are today's videos and charts.

The widely-held mega-cap stocks that dominate the US markets recently finished reporting their Q4’18 financial results. Because the tenor of stock markets changed radically last quarter, this latest earnings season is more important than usual. An extreme monster...

The ECB eased its monetary stance. It launched another round of cheap loans to banks and promised to keep interest rates unchanged this year. It means that Draghi will not hike during his presidency. What does it all mean for the gold market?

Gold is no longer the most valuable precious metal! Palladium dethroned it! We invite you, thus, to read our today’s article about that metal and find out what is the fundamental outlook for the palladium market.

China increased its gold reserves for a third straight month in February, data from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) showed this morning. The value of China’s gold reserves rose slightly to $79.498 billion in February from $79.319 billion at the end of January, as...

As the old saying goes, politics is a show business for ugly people. Fair enough, but what does it have to do with gold? Let’s jump right in and find out!

The current stock bull market, already the longest in U.S. history, turns 10 years old this month. It’s been a phenomenally profitable time to participate, especially if you’ve stuck to an investment strategy that favors dividend-paying stocks.

It may be too early to say the world is entering a significant economic downturn, but even ardent bulls must admit to it as an increasing possibility. Financial analysts, both bovine and ursine, face a complex matrix of factors when judging the future effect of any...

The recent monthly statements of account published by the Bank for International Settlements indicate that the bank is still actively trading gold swaps, which the bank uses to gain access to gold held by commercial banks.

In my first Premium Post back in January, “2019 Economic Headwinds Look Like Storm of the Century,” I laid out sixteen major headwinds that would be howling against the economy this year. One of those was the government debt, which I said was about to skyrocket:

When the general stock market declined in the previous months, many people called for much higher gold prices, supposedly based on the allure of the safe-haven demand for the yellow metal. And while there is some truth to it as gold would be likely to rally if the...

Buy gold for insurance against fiscal and monetary predations of central bankers, commercial banking and government. Yes – certainly! Buy silver for insurance, profit and beautiful coins. Yes! Buy both to own real money that has no counter-party risk. 

What an interesting day it’s today. After yesterday’s brief moment of serenity, many currency pairs are on the move now. Where to look first? Is it the euro? The action looks great and builds on our assumptions surely to your delight. Or are you more happy about...

Gold has been quietly (by its standards) creeping up. Our summer trade idea to buy with the aim of offloading in the winter for a 10%-20% gain has hit the target. As I write it stands at $1,344 an ounce.

While there is some religious significance in Roman culture, the Ides of March is best known as the date on which Julius Caesar was assassinated in 44 BC at a meeting of the Roman Senate.

The rather sharp drop in gold late last week, especially on Friday, came as something as a shock to many investors in the sector, yet as we will proceed to see it was set up to react back here or soon, and a period of consolidation or reaction at around this level...

The recent rally showed quite a bit of promise. Gold stocks surged past their long-term moving averages while breadth indicators surpassed all prior bear market peaks (excluding 2016). 71% of the HUI and 81% of GDXJ closed above the 200-day moving average.

The US stock market and bullion swooned yesterday, but the GDX gold stocks ETF was up! Gold stocks continue to perform impressively.  Rallies look impulsive and corrections feel solid.

Warren Buffett’s famed annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders landed in the mail last week. Buffett has built a vast fortune investing in the shares of publicly traded companies. He has long been critical of gold. His most recent letter takes another swipe...

Powell’s testimony before the Congress is behind us. The ECB meeting is ahead of us. Will Draghi support the gold prices after recent declines? Gold Falls Below $1,300. Gold bulls might be disappointed. The upward trend apparently ended. As one can see in the chart...

Last week the theme was that when a large river runs deep and fast, the surface is smooth with only an occasional swirl of water that reveals all is not so placid below. This has been the situation with the PM metals for the past few months.

Higher interest rates and a stronger dollar tend to be a potent bearish cocktail for gold and silver prices. On Friday, March 1, the most widely traded precious metals markets received another reminder of how they love to take the stairs higher and an elevator to...

The best performing metal this week was palladium, up 2.81 percent with continued price strength. Gold traders were split between bullish, bearish and neutral on the yellow metal this week as prices struggled to recover and posted a monthly loss for February.

Gold, silver and mining stocks plunged on Friday and the yellow metal closed the week below the $1,300 barrier. The gold-silver ratio soared once again and it all happened in tune with our expectations, and despite the recent dovish comments from the Fed. And –...