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Gold Editorials & Commentary

Gold-Eagle gold and precious metal news, market analysis and editorials from world renowned gold analysts and market experts.  Stay informed with the latest news and analyses on gold prices and perspectives on the economy to guide your investing decisions.

 

October 20, 2017

Leverage is the use of credit or borrowed capital to increase the earning potential of your investment portfolio. But like everything else in finance, higher returns mean higher risk, so leverage is not for everyone.

Ten years ago last week the U.S. stock market hit a peak before crashing during the financial crisis. That now seems a like a distant memory but with stocks making new record highs every day recently, it is prudent to step back and evaluate the long term performance...

Yesterday, the Department of Labor announced that initial jobless claims dropped. Quite a lot. So naturally, markets reacted. The stock market began to rise. The euro rose, at least for a while.

In light of the 30-year anniversary of the Black Monday Crash in 1987 (when the Dow lost more than 20% in "one day", we should be reminded that investor anxiety usually increases when markets get to extremes. If stock prices fall steeply, people fret about money...

October 19, 2017

The gold industry has been built on the leveraging of debt and energy.  The days of using human and animal labor to produce the precious yellow metal are long gone.  While some gold is still mined the old fashion way, the overwhelming majority is produced by using...

The market is on the verge of something serious. For months we’ve been climbing steadily in a tighter range. Stocks have been BEYOND overbought having gone 300 days without even a 3% pullback.

Gold and silver have played important roles during periods of conflict and have protected people but also protected nations and conferred power. HSBC Chief Precious Metals analyst James Steel has written a fascinating piece for this month’s Alchemist about this.

The correlation between the price of gold and the US dollar is an interesting one. For starters, gold is inversely correlated with the USD. Simply put, as the dollar appreciates (strengthens) the price of gold rises and demand for it falls on global markets.

October 18, 2017

Yes, much has recently been published about the 10-year anniversary of the 2007~08 credit market crash and many people are trying to make comparisons between then and now.  Some of this information is valid and factual.

Mike responds to questions about Jeff Clark’s recent story on Chinese oil imports being priced not in dollars, but yuan. And how they're convertibility into gold on the Shanghai futures exchange creates a new and large source of gold demand.

It may feel like we’ll escape a debt crisis since, well, the world hasn’t ended in spite of runaway debt levels. Some of us hard money people feel like we’re taking crazy pills; how the heck can debt be so out of control, so completely unpayable, and yet the...

October 17, 2017

Gold’s recent rally from the $1268 area lows has stalled, and the reasons for that are both fundamental and technical.

The Fed is no longer even trying to hide the fact that it WANTS inflation. In the last month, the Fed has attempted to feign ignorance about the true nature of inflation. Fed Chair Janet Yellen even went so far as to claim the Fed doesn’t “fully understand”...

I’ve never played poker but I’m pretty sure the number one rule is not to reveal your cards to your opponents. Yesterday the ONS possibly gave the EU one of the biggest reveals so far in Brexit negotiations. Revised figures from the statistics bureau showed the...

Platinum was once the most precious of metals. For decades, it traded at a premium to gold. The other platinum group metals – palladium and rhodium – barely registered on investors’ radar screens.

The yield curve is a remarkably useful leading indicator of major economic and financial-market events. For example, its long-term trend can be relied on to shift from flattening to steepening ahead of economic recessions and equity bear markets. Also, usually it...

October 16, 2017

Official gold reserve updates from the Russian and Chinese central banks are probably one of the more closely watched metrics in the gold world. After the US, Germany, Italy and France, the sovereign gold holdings of China and Russia are the world’s 5th and 6th...

In a recent speech, Warren Buffett came down boldly on the side of optimism when it comes to both the economy and financial markets. What he said was "being short America has been a loser's game...  And it will continue to be a loser's game."

As many of you know, copper is often seen as an indicator of economic health, historically falling when overall manufacturing and construction is in contraction mode, rising in times of expansion. That appears to be the case today. Currently trading above $3 a pound...

Gold traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg are bullish for the first time in five weeks, reports Bloomberg. Following the release of the Fed minutes which showed rising concern about low inflation, the yellow metal climbed to a two-week high.  A fresh flare-up...

Last week, we discussed the ongoing fall of dividend, and especially earnings, yields. This Report is not a stock letter, and we make no stock market predictions. We talk about this phenomenon to make a different point. The discount rate has fallen to a very low...

Puerto Rico has been destroyed by two savage hurricanes which have plunged the island into darkness and despair. The landscape of ruined homes and entire towns resembles Hiroshima after the man made disaster of a nuclear  bomb being dropped on the city.

We’ve all had people come up to us and say “Do you want the good news first or the bad news?” I always opt for the bad news first, to get it out of way and end on a lighter note. The bad news is that the dollar looks set to stage a significant “swansong” rally in...

We are approaching the full count from the 2500 re-accumulation level, but it is likely that we will get there through a series of fits and starts and not directly. This will be dictated by the very nature of the market itself that requires that projection targets...

October 15, 2017

Patterns and wave mappings are warning that a major stock market top is approaching. First, let’s examine a fascinating price pattern Analog between 2007 and here in 2017. There is a striking similarity between the stock rise to a Bull market top from August 2007...

Tonight I would like to update you on some of the longer term gold charts we’ve been following which are still hanging in there from the bullish perspective. Keep in mind these are long term charts so changes come slowly.

As the culturally chaotic -- albeit not (yet?) financially frantic -- year races past, 41 trading weeks now complete, gold just recorded its seventh best, rising 2.1% (27 points) in settling yesterday (Friday) at 1306.

This week the Dow Jones made two new all-time highs, the 64th and 65th of the past year. And as we’ve come to expect in the current advance, there’s no indication of a market correction, however tiny that may be, to be seen on the horizon in the Dow Jones’ BEV chart...

October 14, 2017

In the above-linked article we noted several legs that could be kicked out from under the S&P 500’s table in Q4 2017. The stock market blew right through one of them, which was a bearish (on average) seasonal trend for the 2nd half of September. No one indicator...

Following an article in the Nikkei Asia Review, which reported China will shortly introduce an oil futures contract priced in yuan, there has been some confusion about what it means. The article pointed out that in combination with existing gold futures priced in...

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