Gold Price Ends Higher After Jobs Data; Gains 1.2% For Week

May 8, 2015

Washington (May 8)   Gold futures snapped a two-day loss to end higher on Friday, tracking rising global equity markets, with some better-than-expected jobs data from the US and unemployment rate dropping to a 7-year low. The data is seen as solid but not strong enough to put a June interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve back on the table.

For the week, gold futures gained about 1.2%.

A  Labor Department  report on Friday showed unemployment rate in the US dropped to its lowest level in almost seven years, with employment in the US increasing roughly in line with economist estimates in April. The unemployment rate at 5.4% was at its lowest since hitting a matching rate in  May 2008  .

The report said non-farm payroll employment increased by 223,000 jobs in April compared to economist estimates for an increase of about 220,000 jobs.

It is now expected the strong jobs report will push the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in either July or September.

Gold for June delivery, the most actively traded contract, gained  USD6.70  or 0.6% to settle at  USD1,188.90  an ounce, on the Comex division of the  New York Mercantile Exchange  on Friday.

Gold for June delivery scaled an intraday high of  USD1,193.00  and a low of  USD1,180.50  an ounce.

On Thursday, gold futures dropped  USD8.10  or 0.7% to settle at  USD1,182.20  an ounce, on some better-than-expected initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US, amid speculation that a decent US jobs report could put the Federal Reserve back on track to raise interest rates this summer.

Holdings of  SPDR Gold Trust  , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, remained unchanged at 739.06 tons on Friday from its previous close.

The dollar index, which tracks the US unit against six major currencies, traded at 94.64 on Friday, up from its previous close of 94.61 on Thursday in late North American trade. The dollar scaled a high of 95.07 intraday and a low of 94.32.

The euro trended lower against the dollar at  USD1.1228  on Friday, as compared to its previous close of  USD1.1268  in North American trade late Thursday. The euro scaled a high of  USD1.1290  intraday and a low of  USD1.1182  .

On the economic front, a  Labor Department  said non-farm payroll employment increased by 223,000 jobs in April compared to economist estimates for an increase of about 220,000 jobs.

The overall job growth helped push the unemployment rate down to 5.4% in April from 5.5% in March, in line with economist estimates, the lowest level since  May 2008  . However, the  Labor Department  also said the increase in employment in March was downwardly revised to 85,000 jobs from the previously reported 126,000 jobs.

Wholesale inventories in the US rose less than expected in March, a report from the  Commerce Department  showed Friday. Wholesale inventories inched up 0.1% in March after rising by a downwardly revised 0.2% in February. Economists expected wholesale inventories to climb by 0.3%, matching the increase originally reported for the previous month.

 China's  exports logged an unexpected drop on weak demand in April, with imports also declining more than expected adding to hopes of more economic stimulus. Exports fell 6.2% in April from last year in yuan terms, data from the  General Administration of Customs  showed Friday. Economists had forecast a 0.9% increase for April.

 China's  imports registered a double-digit decrease of 16.1% annually, sharper than an expectation for a 8.4% drop. Consequently, the trade surplus came in at  CNY 210.2 billion  , below the consensus forecast of  CNY 173.8 billion  .

In US dollar terms, exports were down 6.4% from a year ago, slower than March's 15% decline. Exports were forecast to grow 1.6%. Imports declined 16.2% versus 12.7% fall in March. As a result,  China's  trade surplus increased to  USD34.1 billion  in April from  USD3.1 billion  in March. The surplus was expected to rise to  USD39.6 billion  .

 Germany's  exports and imports growth exceeded expectations in March, with exports rising 1.2% month-on-month in March, much faster than the 0.4% rise forecast by economists. Nonetheless, this was slightly slower than the 1.4% rise seen in February.

German imports advanced 2.4%, while growth was expected to ease to 0.1% from 1.3% seen in February. As growth in imports outpaced export growth, the seasonally adjusted trade surplus dropped to  EUR 19.3 billion  from  EUR 20 billion  in February.

 Germany's  industrial production declined unexpectedly from February, adding to uncertainty about the economic expansion in the first quarter. Industrial production declined by 0.5% in March after staying flat in February. Economists had forecast a 0.4% rise for March.

The  UK's  visible trade gap narrowed to  GBP 10.1 billion  from  GBP 10.8 billion  in February, data from the  Office for National Statistics  showed Friday. Economists expected a smaller shortfall of  GBP 9.8 billion.

Source: AllianceNews

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