first majestic silver

A Good Change In Behaviour

February 14, 2015

Markets and stocks acted great all week. But later on showed a change in behaviour to positive…so I’m moving back into stocks now – however a bit slowly.

I’m mainly focused on leading stocks, which have reported great earnings and demonstrated an earnings gap.  Subsequently, they have setup a pattern to break higher.  So far so good. Moreover, it makes it pretty simple with not too many stocks falling into that category.

Of course this can always change, but for now things look better.  Furthermore, the higher close for the week was very, very positive and strong.

The metals continued lower as their charts suggested -- and are now set up for another break lower.

Gold fell 0.50% last week after breaking the 200-day moving average. And then built a small bear flag before breaking lower. Consequently, it now has another small bear flag setup.

I’d consider a short position on a break below the 100-day moving average at $1,217.  There is some support at $1,200 still but we are more likely to see $1,180 hit before we see any major support and then we can reassess.

For now, it’s still lower we go.  And soon you may hear me talking about the $1,000 level once again.

Silver gained 3.46% this past week…but is still setup for further weakness. I’d need to see a move and daily close above $17.50 before I could consider the move lower to be invalidated…while gold would also have to move higher as well…and that is not looking good.

Friday did excite some…but one day does not a trend make. The trend remains down.

Platinum lost 1.23% this past week -- and will likely continue to follow gold and silver lower.

Platinum is still set to move to support at $1,125 -- and then we see how it acts there before we either bounce or make a new major move lower to heavy support way down at $800.

I’ve talked about the capitulation moment a lot but not recently.  However, I’ve not seen any real sort of capitulation in the metals.

The perma-bulls are still holding strong and talking their talk.  So we may well have a long ways to correct still.

Same chart as last week for palladium as it gained 0.82%, but remains in a bearish pattern. A break above $800 would be a good sign while a move under $770 would not be so great. Of course this all depends on the movement in gold and silver who always lead platinum and palladium.

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Warren Bevan is a renowned trader who’s honed his craft over the years learning the styles and techniques of Jesse Livermore, William O’Neil and Dan Zanger and forming his own unique style. He focuses on making money and going hard when the right markets present themselves and during the rest of the time focuses on capital preservation.  He focuses on the leading fast moving stocks during the good times.  He is a proud Canadian, traveler, explorer, and consummate market geek who tells it as he sees it. Warren’s website is www.wizzentrading.com and his email address is [email protected]


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