TLT Update…The Odd Couple Of US Bonds And Gold

January 24, 2017

Let’s start by looking at a weekly chart for TLT, 20 year bond ETF, which shows it built out an H&S top last summer. That H&S top is a reversal pattern that showed up at the end of its bull market which has been ongoing for many years. There is a big brown shaded support and resistance zone that has been offering support.

This next chart is a 15 year monthly look at the TLT which shows it has built out a four year 5 point bearish rising wedge which broke to the downside in November of last year. If there is a backtest it would come in around the 129.75 area.

TMV is a 3 X short the TLT.

This last chart is a combo chart which has the TLT on top and GLD on the bottom. It’s not a perfect correlation by any means but these two have been moving together pretty consistently over the last year or so. GLD is currently back-testing its neckline and a support and resistance line going back a year and a half or so. If GLD can trade back above the neckline and the S&R line the bulls will be talking to us. To say this is a critical area for GLD is an understatement. Definitely an area to keep a close eye on.

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Rambus Chartology is Primarily a Goldbug TA Site following the precious metals markets. Chartology is the Unique Blend of Technical Chart Pattern Identification and Market Psychology,  Developed by Rambus During the Tech Mania of the late 1990s.  His Early Training came the old fashioned way...Reading Edwards and McGee's Bible of Technical Analysis and spending years with a sharp pencil graph paper and ruler refining his skills and accuracy. Visit the Rambus Chartology website at http://rambus1.com/.

China is the world’s biggest gold producer with more than 355 tons annually. Australia is second.