Surf City

Surf City is a pseudonym for a 60-year-old retired Information Technology Executive and Software start-up Entrepreneur living near the beach in California.   He has been an active investor and trader since the mid-1980s. Analytical by nature, his sound investments over the years allowed him to retire at a relatively early age of 55. In addition to the standard Technical Analysis tools of Edwards and Magee, Surf is a disciple of Walter Bressert’s Cycle Methodology and Stan Weinstein’s Stage 4 Market analysis.  Surf combines these skills to develop his unique “Cycle Price Channels.”  Some call them “Surf’s ForkCycles.

Articles by Surf City

Based on Time and Price action I am seeing, I am expecting the next Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL) for gold and PM’s either in mid-May (this week or next?) or it could move into mid-June. Why the one month variation? That is about the time...
Seems everyone (me included) is trying to spot when the next Intermediate Low in gold and PMs will be. Again, one of the things I am looking for is a failed short term Trading Cycle to confirm the move into the next Intermediate Low.
First, let me say that a new high by gold in week 16 of this current Intermediate Cycle is an extremely positive development as we now have a setup which should ensure that gold has a Right Translated cycle that makes a higher Intermediate...
Beyond the 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle and Yearly Cycle (2-3 Intermediate Cycles), there are also longer Cycles for all assets.  Gold for example has a 4 Year Cycle and the USD has a 3 Year Cycle (all cycles measured Low to Low). The USD...
Monday will be day 6 of Gold’s third Trading Cycle (TC) out of the December 2016 Yearly Cycle Low (YCL). Gold’s longer 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle usually has four shorter Trading Cycles within it (sometimes 3 or 5 but usually 4 shorter...
NOTHING is certain or guaranteed in Markets….ever.  Anyone who tells you otherwise is a charlatan. That said, within Bressert’s Cycle framework the norm is that a new Intermediate Cycle in any asset should test or breach the Intermediate...
Just a quick update on the USD and Gold.  Today’s move by the USD finally seemed to put a pause in the relentless uptrend by Gold and the Miners.  I have the USD on day 6 now in what is very clearly a new short term Trading Cycle.
If you are going to trade the commodity sector, you had best follow the USD, which is why I do.  If I am correct that the USD’s longer 15 Year Super Cycle is toping in 2017, then the CRB will be a fun sector where we will focus.
We are still waiting patiently for another possible nibble at some miner positions.  In the meantime, what is the XAU:Gold ratio…and why is it important?
Did gold find a Trading Cycle Low last Friday?  Perhaps. Silver was definitely leading the way as it often does at bottoms.  But silver also delivers many head-fakes and with the USD is due for a new Trading Cycle bounce, gold will likely...
Pure gold is non-toxic when ingested.