Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.

 

The summer is flying now.  The gold price and the precious metals miners have started to look poised for a significant rally, as the USd stumbles on the f/x markets.

“Tolerance is the last virtue of a dying society.” (Aristotle) -- Today we have yet again tolerated another lie.  We were told, by the Fed, that Q-Infinity was necessary in order to save the economy when indeed

Whether the stock market is in a long-term bullish trend or a long-term bearish trend can't be determined by looking at nominal prices. The reason is that the nominal price of an investment is determined by the value of the investment AND...
India’s demand for gold during the second quarter of 2013 topped all other countries, according to the latest World Gold Council data. As noted by GoldCore, the demand for gold in India rose to its “highest in the last 10 years,” with...

The DOLLAR PRICE of gold briefly jumped back above $1370 per ounce Tuesday lunchtime in London, before drifting lower as world stock markets fell hard with commodities.

The recent rally in gold prices should not come as a surprise. After all, the gold market has been in backwardation for months, the three-month lease rate, reflecting the cost of borrowing gold, reached a four-year high on August 7, demand...

Aside from the fact that the 10-Year Treasury Yield Index (TNX) is rising, one reason for the recent equity market sell-off is the uncertainty generated by the Fed’s latest announcement concerning the future of QE3. 

“Demand right now is next to nothing," -Michael Kramer, U.S. coin dealer being quoted by Reuters News, Aug 20, 2013. Over the past few days, I’ve been a fairly heavy seller of gold bullion and gold stock trading positions.
In Part I ( http://www.gold-eagle.com/article/theory-interest-and-prices-paper-curre... ) , I made several points. First, that in the last gold bear market, miners capitulated after prices were low and falling for a long time. Then they...
Some of the “more common” contra-cyclical manifestations are currently not following the “rules”, which could imply the onset of a complete breakdown, i.e. we may be on the cusp of a situation where the Dollar, US Equities (leading Global...

According to Austrian Business Cycle Theory, when a central bank slows its money printing that has fueled a manipulated stock market boom, the stock market is very vulnerable to a crash.Murray Rothbard in his book 

Last Weekend report , Rambus Showed a Provocative Scenario For the Precious Metals Markets dubbed “What If 1 : Circa 2013″ I would like to show you two stocks we bought recently that have nice inverse H&S bases. Inverted H&S...

The good news is: The market averages are likely to be at or near their low point for this month. The Negatives: New highs have disappeared.

Recently Contributing Editor Morris Hubbart has been providing his gold and silver market analysis via videos.  Here are his latest videos:

We use the 20+ Year T-Bonds ETF (TLT) as the surrogate for long bond timing. As of 5/20/2013 TLT is on a Trend Model NEUTRAL signal, which means that the model has been out of bonds but not short. The LT Trend M

The destruction culminating in late June in the gold price brought out the usual suspects to school us ever since about why gold is all done as a worthy investment in an era of economic revival, compliments of heroic policy making by Be...

Stock market bears have accumulated four feathers in their caps, which tells us to remain flexible and open to additional weakness in stocks:

The flagship GLD gold ETF has suffered a radically unprecedented mass exodus this year.  The capital fleeing this single vehicle was the primary reason gold plunged so dramatically in 2013’s first half.  But just this week, money starte...

Last week we focused on the idea that gold is not an inflation hedge (http://www.gold-eagle.com/article/gold-anti-inflation-hedge ).

Gold has been in a significant bear market since reaching a record high at $1,910 an ounce in 2011. In its collapse gold bullion lost $705 an ounce or 37% of its value to the recent low at $1,195.

Over the years that I’ve published my research letters, I have routinely observed selective thinking.  In reality, what I have found is that rather than seeking the truth, people actually seek out opinion that supports their own.    Now...

What actually happened in the gold market during the second quarter of 2013? The One Bank launched one of its most savage assaults on bullion markets throughout the entire course of this 13-year bull market, causing all-time record demand...

Gold in relation to the Dow Jones Industrials (DJI) has taken a bit of a beating over the past few months.

In our previous essay ( http://www.gold-eagle.com/article/recent-price-action-silver-breakout-or... ) we focused on silver’s relationship with the general stock market. Today, we think it would be interesting to revisit the silver-to-...

In the 1990s, tech stocks were the place to be. After the dot-com bust, those who placed their money in bonds or shorted stocks did very well until October 2002. The winning asset class between late 2002 and October 2007 was stocks.

At one point we thought we were alone in believing that eventually we would see a confiscation of citizen’s gold in one or more countries. Then we saw the confiscation of deposits in Cyprus in line with a “bail-in” policy.

First off let's go over the key cyclical points from today's action.  Yesterday gold broke above the cycle downtrend line, thus confirming August 7 as a daily cycle low.

The spot gold price surged to a near three-week high yesterday as strong demand to buy gold hit the market. Analysts are now looking for December gold futures to push through $1,350, the next level of resistance.

During this banker raid on paper gold and paper silver, while banking shill Nouriel Roubini was spouting more propaganda in the distribution channels of the mass media of a gold collapse to sub-par $1000 an ounce prices, we were busy in...

All aboard and back up the truck. The recovery train is soon to leave the station for higher prices!  Obviously, the ideal time for that would have been at the exact bottom.

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Due primarily to the California Gold Rush, San Francisco’s population exploded from 1,000 to 100,000 in only two years.