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Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.

 

Markets have countless moving parts, which means trying to figure out why the market does what it does, is difficult at best. Investors always look for clean explanations of why markets move up or down. The simple truth is markets often...

Money laundering is the process by which illegally obtained cash is made to appear as if it has been obtained by legal means.

Markets have been running with lower than normal volume for quite some time, but this week I noticed that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was running with only about half its 250-EMA of volume, and I wondered if there was some...

WHOLESALE bullion prices bounced on Wednesday from new 3-week lows as the US cancelled a Congressional vote on Syria, and traders pointed to next week's expected "tapering" of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve.

We have been saying for the last four years that as Europe, the US and other Western and global nation-states continue their debt-fueled collapse the governments of these countries will continue to consider their citizens' wealth to be...

I often talk about how the gold trade is really two separate trades. There’s the Fear Trade that buys gold out of fear of war or poor government policies. This crowd sees the precious metal as a safe haven during times of crisis, such...

The answer to the above question is yes, but not in the way that most people think. Most financial commentators believe that commercial banks expand their loan books by 'piggybacking' on their reserves, with something known as the "...

There is a tradable approach to analyzing the fundamentals of supply and demand in the monetary metals markets. This article is a brief summary of the approach we take at Monetary Metals (and we also released a video that presents some...

Looking ahead to next week's US Federal Reserve announcement, "Tapering to the tune of $10bn-15bn has in our view been priced in," says a note from Bank of America-Merrill Lynch analysts.

After being bullish on equities for most of 2013, back on July 16th I warned that the U.S. stock market was due for a significant correction. Allow me to briefly expound on why another 10% selloff in the averages is highly likely from...

As gold soared towards $1434 recently, greed seemed to be making a comeback. From the lows near $1180, the golden metal had rallied about $254, with only one minor pullback.

The financial markets continued to rise early Tuesday afternoon based on a carryover from Monday’s news regarding Syria and China. The Washington Post noted hurdles remain on the Syrian front:

“The Long and Winding Road” to collapse has never, in the history of our world, ever been so aggressively traveled but in the past 4 years since “Q-Infinity and Beyond” was started. Those whom have studied history recognize that the...

Quantitative Easing (QE) involves pumping freshly printed electronic dollars into the hands of the Fed’sprimary dealers in exchange for bonds. A bond is removed from the economy and new money is added. If the Fed is on track to reduce/...

Reading the financial press, one gets the impression there are only two sides to the austerity debate: pro-austerity and anti-austerity. In reality, we have three forms of austerity. There is the Keynesian-Krugman-Robert Reich form...

Fundamentally, Gold is now starting to move into the final 3rd phase of this long term bull market. 1st stage saw the miners closing their hedge books, 2nd stage continuously presented us news about institutions and central banks buying...

The PRICE of GOLD edged $10 per ounce lower Monday morning in what dealers called "dull, thin" trade following Friday's sharp jump on US jobs data.

Investors have the choice of risking their money in various markets. Let’s see how things have gone for stocks, US T-bonds and the old monetary metals since the top in the US Treasury bond market in Barron’s 4 June 2012 issue....

The answer to the question above unfortunately is maybe. There are definitely warning signs springing up. The first sign of trouble popped up last week when the miners generated a key reversal on huge volume and on a day when gold was...

All precious metal equities are on mixed signals short-term – although they continue to remain on a major Sell Signal long-term since March 2012.

Is the current rally from the lows the result of: A. Long lines to buy silver and gold coins world-wide B. Unprecedented demand for those same coins, year over year C. Drawdowns of physical gold/silver on COMEX D. Central bank PM vaults...

The good news is: New highs picked up to the highest levels in several weeks. The negatives: The chart below covers the past 6 months showing the S&P500 (SPX) in red and a 10% trend (19 day EMA) of NYSE new highs (NY NH) in green...

Gold finished Friday up $23.70 on moderate volume to 1391.00, with silver up $0.68 to 23.90 on below average volume. The gold/silver ratio dropped to 58.20. Gold recovered all of what it lost Thursday, but volume in PM was light. The...

A very constructive week with markets looking like they want to go higher, but are really yet to move that way. Of course that can change and that’s why we need to assess markets on a daily basis and be ready and able to change our...

There is a lot of uncertainty facing markets this September. Who will replace Bernanke? Will the Fed taper its QE4 program, and slow the goosing of the stock market?

It is well known that in 1933, President Roosevelt confiscated the gold of U.S. citizens and made possession of gold illegal. He gave gold owners about $20 an ounce and when he was done, he raised the gold price to $35.

The PRICE of gold jumped $33 from a new 10-session low in just 5 minutes on Friday, touching $1393 per ounce before easing back after August's Non-Farm Payrolls data on US jobs came in weaker than expected.

Gold denominated in Indian rupees just skyrocketed up near record highs, a far cry from recent dollar-gold action. Much of this extraordinary rally was fueled by the near-collapse of the Indian currency to new record lows against the...

The last couple of weeks have witnessed changing attitudes of large institutions concerning the gold price. A growing number of institutional analysts are become bullish – some them ultra bullish – on gold’s near-term outlook. What...

One nation's recovery is another's credit crisis. Time to sell gold...COTTON is it, for the second anniversary? Today marked two years since gold hit its all-time peak so far.

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In 1934 President Franklin Delano Roosevelt devalued the dollar by raising the price of gold to $35 per ounce.

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