As I’ve noted in the past, the Commitments of Traders (COT) information is nothing other than a sentiment indicator. Moreover, for some markets, including gold, silver, copper, the major currencies and Treasury bonds, the COT reports are by far the best indicators...
Gold Editorials & Commentary
July 10, 2018
Tightening is coming, brace yourself! And we mean ‘tightening’, not just the removal of monetary accommodation. Why we think so? Let’s read our article about the recent FOMC minutes and find out!
Lots of bullion investors wonder if the metal they hold might one day be needed for barter and trade. They bought gold and silver, at least in part, as a form of insurance. It just might come in handy in an extreme circumstance such as a currency crisis of the sort...
For thousands of years, alchemists have dreamed of creating gold out of thin air. Arguably, today’s alchemists are gold analysts obsessed with calling “market tops and bottoms”. The relentless search for this holy market grail doesn’t build retained gold market...
Say that precious metals investors would be quite surprised to learn that the total cumulative gold production from the two leading countries is well over two billion ounces. That is one heck of a lot of gold once we consider that only six billion oz of gold has...
Sam, recently we've seen a major intersection of the markets with politics. Would you touch on macroeconomic themes you see happening with politics, gold and other precious metals?
July 9, 2018
Last week I had the privilege of meeting a young tech superstar in Palo Alto, California—Gabe Leydon, cofounder and now-former CEO of mobile game producer MZ. Previously known as Machine Zone, the Sunnyvale-based company is responsible for developing some of the...
The first week of July was really about the upside following through based on the overall rounding bottoming pattern and temporary low setup at the 2693.25 low from the last week of June. The market was able to cement the status of temporary low from June, and had a...
The best performing metal this week was gold, up 0.14 percent. St Barbara produced a record-breaking 403,089 ounces, up 6 percent from the 2017 fiscal year, according to Bloomberg. This is the first time the company has exceeded 400,000 ounces in a year.
If you read most of the analysis being published over the last two days, you would almost assume that the S&P500 should be crashing or be in a bear market. Yet, we are only 4% off the all-time highs struck early this year in the S&P, whereas the Nasdaq and...
Would you have appreciated a single number that could have given you a clear and unmistakable warning before the tech stock bubble collapsed? How about an unequivocal mathematical warning in 2006 that major financial trouble was on the way, well before the problems...
Before it collapsed, the city of Rome had a population greater than 1,000,000 people. That was an extraordinary accomplishment in the ancient world, made possible by many innovative technologies and the organization of the greatest civilization that the world had...
I know most are getting bulled up here, but I’m thinking we go lower into the 12th before rocketing higher in the stock market. Notice the 16 TD tops on the SPX on chart below!
– Italy is EU’s ticking timebomb as debt nears €2.4 trillion. – Italy’s GDP is just €1.85 trillion; National debt is 132% of economy. – Italy is politically dysfunctional at best of times; Now has populist left / right wing government. – National debt owed to other...
July 8, 2018
I update gold’s true fundamentals* every week in commentaries and charts at the TSI web site, but my most recent blog post on the topic was on 30th April. At that time the fundamental backdrop was gold-bearish, but there has since been a change.
In a week fraught with TradeTalk, TariffTiffs, better EconData, worse EconData, and an exchange halt StateSide for Independence Day, trading volume thinned across the BEGOS Markets (Bond Euro Gold Oil S&P) with one exception: Gold! Its contract volume for the...
July 7, 2018
According to some commentators on the gold standard, an increase in the supply of gold generates similar distortions as money out of “thin air” does. Let us start with a barter economy.
Long-term – on major buy signal. Short-term – on mixed signals. Gold sector cycle is up. COT data is supportive for overall higher metal prices. Conditions are now favorable for overall higher prices in coming weeks and months. We are holding gold related ETFs for...
July 6, 2018
Gold has been afflicted by relentless selling over the past few weeks or so, forcing it to major lows. While summer-doldrums weakness is typical, gold’s recent drop is on the large side even for this time of year. It was fueled by truly-extreme short selling by gold...
President Donald Trump’s “America First” trade policies are upending decades of global arrangements and entanglements. Globalists are aghast that the leader of the free world is openly confrontational toward NAFTA, NATO, the European Union, United Nations, and World...
The short-term forecast for gold is clear: the metal is set to move higher. Gold has just put in an intermediate low at $1,238 per ounce as of July 3, 2018. Several leading indicators point to an imminent recovery in prices over the next 1-3 months.
June was hot for the central banks. The Federal Reserve lifted the federal funds rate for the second time this year, while the European Central Bank announced that it would end its bond purchase program by the end of 2018. It would mean another step towards...
Dealing with markets is more about psychology than it is about anything else. So, let’s begin this weekend’s analysis with a discussion of the psychology of the gold and silver market.
The HUI along with most of the other PM stock indexes are at a critical point right here and now. Below is a combo chart we’ve following which has the UUP (The US Dollar Index ETF) on top and the HUI on the bottom.
In this final episode of the Keiser Report from Paris, France, Max and Stacy discuss if a genuine trade war has erupted between China and the U.S. and look at nations, including Russia, stockpiling gold and also cover our recent market update (June 21): Russia Buys...
July 5, 2018
The impressive reversal in gold last Monday, which appeared to occur during the Asian and European trading sessions as opposed to the Crimex pit session, it looks like the precious metals are adhering to the well-broadcasted seasonality trade that has been fraught...
Beginning in 2010, central banks around the world turned from being net sellers of gold to net buyers of gold. Last year official sector activity rose 36 percent to 366 tonnes – a substantial increase from 2016.
On June 26 we provided an antidote to some media hysterics about a “Death Cross” in gold. On that same day we had an NFTRH update (still password protected, but below is the screenshot of the intro) illustrating for subscribers a developing positive risk vs. reward...
An Irish farmer from County Donegal has discovered gold artefacts believed to be an ancient currency or money thousands of years old and from pre-history. Norman Witherow uncovered the gold objects on Saturday when he was digging a drain in a field
Despite its lack of bullish fundamentals and the poor price action, Gold is now technically oversold and has reached strong support with sentiment approaching potentially extreme levels. The conditions are in place for a rally. That being said, bearish sentiment by...
