With everyone talking about recession, investors desperately need some clues to assess the state of the economy. This is what our today’s article provide you with. We invite you to read it and find out what are the two most important recession indicators – and what...
Gold Editorials & Commentary
March 22, 2019
The Fed’s abrupt policy reversal says it all. No more rate hikes (yes, one is “scheduled” for 2020 but that’s fake news) and the balance sheet run-off is being “tapered” but will stop in September. Do not be surprised if it ends sooner. Listening to Powell explain...
March 21, 2019
With the UUP ( US Dollar ETF) having a fairly large decline today lets update a few charts to see how they’ve been progressing. Back in August of last year the UUP began to build out a rising wedge formation with today’s price action completing the fourth reversal...
The global economy is at a cross-road, with international trade stalling and undermining domestic economies. Some central banks, notably the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England were still reflating their economies by supressing interest...
Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on March 19-20th. In line with the expectations, the US central bank unanimously kept its interest rates unchanged. The federal funds rate remained at the target...
The Fed's tightening campaign, which was supposed to restore a semblance of monetary normalcy, after a decade of extraordinary stimulus, is officially over. The curtain came down far earlier than just about anyone in the mainstream had predicted. Given that the Fed'...
March 20, 2019
Trading Recommendation: Long gold. Use puts as stops. Active Positions: We are long, with puts as stops! Long silver. Use a put as a stop.
After over forty years in the world of money and markets, I have arrived at the conclusion that aging can be a double-edged sword where the advantages created by many years of experience are many times odiously offset by innate biases that become ingrained over time...
Gold stocks have repeated their decline once again yesterday while gold and silver soldier on. When will the miners take gold and silver down with them? Underperformance is a critical sign of weakness, there’s no denying that. Would today’s Fed policy pronouncements...
A few weeks ago, I wrote an article entitled “Bonds Setting Up To Skyrocket,” and boy did I get a lot of pushback in the comments section. And, when I see so many who are still very bearish of bonds, it tells me that I am likely on the right track with my...
Our research team believes a moderately mild price rotation will unfold over the next 30 to 60 days where the US Stock Market will rotate downward. Particularly, the $INDU (Dow Jones Industrials) should move lower towards the $23,000 to 24,000 before finding...
Germany has come up with a solution to the deep troubles at one of the world’s largest banks: make it part of an even bigger one. he people who oversee Europe’s financial system had better be ready for the consequences if this doesn’t end well.
March 19, 2019
The next US central bank announcement is tomorrow, and whatever happens is win-win for gold. If the Fed surprises most analysts and hikes rates, the stock market probably crashes, and gold stocks rally strongly.
Currency market participants look cautious before tomorrow’s big day of the Fed pronouncements. Looks reasonable but even guarded moves can give telling signs. Of where the action is now and where it’s likely to go next, to paraphrase one famous Canadian ice hockey...
In recent weeks we noted the bullish outlook for the stock market. Friday the S&P 500 as well as ACWX (global equity ETF ex US stocks) closed above resistance and made higher highs.
I sourced the chart below from a blog called The Macro Tourist. I added the title and the two yellow trend lines. The chart shows the daily price of gold since the inception of the bull market in 2000-2001. Last Friday (March 8th) gold popped $12 +/- (depending on...
Some important pieces of the US economic reports, including the latest nonfarm payrolls, have disappointed recently. May indicators (including the leading ones) have hit a soft patch it seems. Will that push the Fed to downgrade its dot-plot or fine-tune the...
March 18, 2019
The best performing metal this week was palladium, up 2.42 percent, despite speculators cutting their bullish view to a four-month low. Gold traders were bullish this week, after two weeks of being neutral on the outlook for the yellow metal, on the expectation that...
My goal is to make you mad. Not at me (though I expect to ruffle a few feathers with this one). At the evil being wrought in the name of fighting inflation and maximizing employment. And at the aggressive indifference to this evil, exhibited by the capitalists, the...
After gold’s plunge on Thursday, it made a comeback attempt on Friday. But that erased only half of Thursday’s vigorous decline. The situation in silver and gold miners doesn’t provide much ground for optimism either. The silent scream we wrote about in the...
It’s been years since the gold and silver topped out in 2011. We have been waiting for a new bottom form and a new bull market to emerge for nearly 8 years. In this article, I’m going to compare palladium, gold, platinum, and silver and show you which of these...
Sprott/Hempke indicated in their weekly interview of Friday February 22 that since January 30, 2019, when Powell reduced its forecast for rate hikes in 2019, some 34 tons of gold has been withdrawn from the GLD gold ETF whilst with a rising gold price the opposite...
Many investors maintain beliefs about the stock market which often have them looking the wrong way at the market turns. In fact, I can no longer count how many comments I see about how the Fed is what directs our stock market action, and it just makes me scratch my...
March 17, 2019
This was a constructive week for the Dow Jones, up 1.49% in the BEV chart below. That doesn’t sound like much; but remember low volatility in the stock market is when the Dow Jones does the thing the bulls like most – advance towards new all-time highs.
March 16, 2019
One problem for the gold stock sector was highlighted here and here evidently a little too obnoxiously for the liking of some bugs. The problem was the aggressive bullhorn sounds emanating from every orifice of the gold community the minute the charts broke upward...
Our proprietary cycle indicator is up. Gold sector is on a major sell signal. GLD is on short-term sell signal. GDX is on short-term sell signal. XGD.to is on short-term sell signal. GDXJ is on short-term sell signal.
March 15, 2019
It is my privilege now to welcome back Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies. Michael is well known money manager and a terrific market commentator and author of the book The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the...
Here are today's videos and charts:
The major gold miners are grinding higher in a solid upleg, fueling growing interest in this small contrarian sector. They’ve mostly finished reporting their fourth-quarter results, revealing how they are really faring fundamentally. Collectively the world’s...
Gold has turned vigorously lower yesterday. And not only gold at that. Red, red, everywhere in precious metals you looked. The silent scream we wrote about in the Wednesday’s Alert for our subscribers brought serious repercussions. Immediately and just in time to...
