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Gold Editorials & Commentary

December 19, 2015

It really matters little what the charts are saying about the paper futures for gold and silver here, which we will get to shortly. The focus needs to be kept on a few facts that are inescapably true: fiat currencies throughout the history on this planet have...

The Fed rate hike has come and gone, while the precious metals sector has continued to whipsaw traders day after day. The initial reaction was very positive. However, that completely reversed course on Thursday with Gold threatening to move to a new low and gold...

Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Research, an independent financial research firm based in Washington DC with clients in 56 countries around the world. His insights have been featured in Rolling Stone Magazine, Crain’s New York Business...

On May 1, 2003 on the flight deck of the USS Abraham Lincoln then President George W. Bush, after becoming the first U.S. president to land on an aircraft carrier in a fixed wing aircraft (in a dashing olive drab flight suit), declared underneath an enormous "...

December 18, 2015

Technical Analysis Of The Markets via videos.

The Federal Reserve finally mustered the courage to end its radical zero-interest-rate-policy experiment this week. Its quarter-point rate hike announced on the seventh anniversary of ZIRP kicks off the long road to normalization. This leaves the stock markets and...

Alongside the GDP and labor market’s strength, inflation rate is the most important macroeconomic indicator – since the Fed promotes full employment and price stability. The price stability is measured as the inflation rate, so inflation reports are closely watched...

We are going to write about gold in the new non-zero interest rates world in the upcoming edition of the Market Overview in greater detail, but let’s now sketch the possible consequences of the recent interest rate hike for the gold market.

Gold fell to the lowest level in dollar terms since 2009 yesterday after the Fed’s “historic” 25 basis point interest rate rise on Wednesday. The rate hike has been heralded as the “end of cheap money.” This may or may not be the case but what is more important for...

In my last gold update (11/19/2015) I called for gold prices to continue lower into a December 6-month cycle low and that prices would likely test the $1,040-$1,000 levels. The Fed made their announcement yesterday…and it often takes 1-2 days for the dust to settle...

December 17, 2015

The Fed finally acted this week – upping its benchmark Federal Funds rate by 0.25%. Now that the speculation over whether the Fed will hike has been put to rest, analysts are busily speculating about what the Fed’s move means for the economy and markets.

After months of the Federal Reserve preparing us for a Fed rate hike, it’s here, done and gone. The day after impact of the first rate hike is resulting in lower commodity prices, a strong US Dollar and little impact on stock indices.

Markets have been extraordinarily complacent about the bad debts building up in the financial system. In the wake of the Fed’s decision to raise interest rates this week, the effect on debt was barely mentioned in the subsequent analysis by any of the mainstream...

The US official national debt has increased from under $ 2 Billion to almost $19 Trillion in the 102 years since the Federal Reserve was created. Gold has increased from $20.67 per ounce to today’s price of about $1,070. Expect more debt and higher gold prices.

So the Fed stopped playing with the market and finally increased rates by 0.25 per cent on December 16th. This had become the consensus view and came as no shock, so nothing much happened in financial markets, at least at the moment of long-delayed action.

So many bedrock beliefs of investors have been turned on their heads or flatly disproven over the course of this cycle. Never was this more true than with inflation and inflation expectations.

Unless you’re living under a rock, you know that we have an administered interest rate. This means that the bureaucrats at the Federal Reserve decide what’s good for the little people. Then they impose it on us.

The Federal Reserve stayed at 0% interest rates for exactly seven years, to-the-day when Janet Yellen finally stopped dithering and increased rates a whopping 0.25%.

Finally! The Fed did not chicken out and managed to deliver a 25-basis point hike. What does it mean for the U.S. economy and the gold market?

December 16, 2015

The decline in house prices that began in 2006 wasn’t the cause of the 2007-2009 economic bust. The cause was widespread mal-investment resulting from monetary inflation and the Fed’s interest-rate manipulation.

By the time you read this Commentary, chances are the Federal Reserve, America’s central bank, will have announced its decision to raise, if only by a slim quarter-percentage point, its key Fed funds interest rate. This is the rate banks charge one another in the...

D-day, December 16, 2015. It’s now the dawn of that day when either the Fed Does or the Fed Doesn’t. It doesn’t matter. Either way, the Economic Apocalypse (ergo the Epocalypse) begins. Let me share something counter-intuitive.

In recent weeks there have been truckloads of rhetoric suggesting and wishing US stocks will continue to rise…or may soon fall. Needless to say, this is perplexing and confusing to the average investor, who is understandably indecisive of what to do….SELL, BUY...

As I have said on numerous occasions, there are several patterns that I find hard to rely upon in any chart, and one of those is a truncated bottom. This is the only way in which one would be able to consider that the metals have completed their 4+ year correction...

Today is judgment day for markets as the Fed decides on interest rates for the last time this year. What can we expect for the gold market?

December 15, 2015

Wall Street has a new hobby use good money to create the illusion that all is well; only unlike most hobbies, the intent is to distort reality and reward lazy insiders for doing next to nothing. Gone are the days of actually trying to improve the bottom line, by...

Tomorrow’s FOMC announcement is arguably the most important Fed event of the past 35 years. It’s a defining moment in Janet Yellen’s career, and so I’ve dubbed it as… “J-Day”! The bottom line: Janet Yellen is going to attempt to raise interest rates without...

Late in yesterday’s day session, gold reached a low of 1058.20, and in the overnight session, that low held. We are now looking for the first signs of an impulsive sequence. That will confirm that all of wave *b* of .b. is complete at the 1058.20 low. A break above...

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) just made a historic decision for international finance by adding the Chinese yuan to its basket of currencies. The yuan joins four other currencies in the SDR basket including the U.S. dollar, the euro, British pound and...

During the past several weeks, we have read numerous accounts of "we are reducing risk before the Fed", which has a very rational fear-of-the-unknown basis. Over the same period, we cannot recall reading one anecdotal example of any institutional investor that was "...

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