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Gold Editorials & Commentary

November 4, 2015

For the same reason the Euro was sharply lower today, so was gold, namely, a hawkish Yellen testimony in which see used the words, “living possibility” when referring to a potential December rate hike.

Stocks have rallied over the last 10 days in part by ECB President Mario Draghi’s statement that if push comes to shove, the ECB will push interest rates even further into negative territory (NIRP).

Just when the short-term prospects for Gold were looking good, precious metals reversed lower this past week. It could be that Gold was surprised by last week’s FOMC minutes, which signaled a potential December rate hike. When the minutes were released, Gold dropped...

Marc Faber, Swiss economist, forecaster, renowned investor and the original Dr. Doom, may need a new nickname. In an interview on CNBC’s “Trading Nation,” the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report editor revealed he may not be as bearish as some may think and that he is...

Those that are in my Trading Room at Elliottwavetrader.net know that I am not a huge fan of Mr. Martin Armstrong. Yet, I believe his perspective about the “manipulation” of gold is absolutely correct, and, unfortunately, he has been wrongfully maligned lately.

November 3, 2015

I have seen articles this past week that suggest the investment world is delusional. I have seen articles suggesting that the only thing we need to do is listen to the Fed to know which way the market is going. And, if you count your own perspective amongst these “...

For years Martin Armstrong has denied market manipulation had any effect on markets. He has taken this stance while touting the ability of his "cycles and charts" to forecast future prices of various markets.

Most economists and investors readily acknowledge that the current period of central bank activism, characterized by extended bouts of quantitative easing and zero percent interest rates, is a newly-blazed trail in economic history.

In the month of October, there were thirteen two hour blocks during which gold traded in a range greater than $10 – not an alarming price range to be sure, but collectively, these high activity moments represent the most volatile trading periods for the gold price...

At the time that this was being written, Gold reached a new low of 1128.70 in the overnight session. Gold is very oversold and is now likely heading to our 78.6% retracement level of wave ^i^ which is 1122.70.

The “will they won’t they” hike rates in the US casts a shadow over gold prices and hampers gold’s ability to gain any traction. The recent FOMC meeting has hinted once again that a rate hike is possible in December…and so the prospect of a stronger US Dollar puts...

October has come to an end…and it has not experienced the kind of event for which the month had become well-known, if not quite famous, over the decades. Stocks did have their ups and downs during the month, but the latter was infrequent and brief and limited.

The global economy is contracting with former engines for growth (Emerging Market economies, particularly China) growing little if at all. Financial markets continuing to rally/ hold up in hope of additional monetary measures by Central Banks.

November 2, 2015

Last week the Federal Reserve announced it would delay the interest rate liftoff yet again, but while everyone seems concerned about nominal rates—the federal funds rate, in this case—real rates have already risen about 5 percent since August 2011. This “invisible”...

Gold consumption in mainland China may match or exceed the record in 2013 after financial market turmoil and the yuan’s devaluation have boosted the metal’s appeal. Further, China’s net imports of gold from Hong Kong increased for the third month in September as...

The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index decreased 0.1 percent in September. What does it mean for the US economy and the gold market?

In a recent article Mike Shedlock (Mish) weighs in on the question of whether or not gold is money. Near the end of the article he concludes: “The only possible debate about whether or not gold is money pertains to the phrase “demanded mainly as a medium of exchange...

Dennis Gartman, author of the institutionally well followed ‘The Gartman Letter,’ has asked questions about gold’s peculiar price action last week and raised the question as to whether there was official central bank manipulation of gold prices.

November 1, 2015

Something changed in the minds of investors in 2008 as more individuals switched to buying physical gold bullion. How much more physical gold buying has taken place since 2008 can be seen in the two charts below.

Last week SPX gave plenty of evidence that it was topping, at least on a near-term basis. Since it fell a few points short of its projection for this move, it is not entirely clear if it has failed to reach it, or if it will make another attempt early next week....

It was ironic that when Dr Watson complained to his companion Sherlock Holmes that he had a stomach ache, Holmes clarified the situation at once by saying “Alimentary, my dear Watson”. More generally, the legendary sleuth of Victorian London would make light of his...

The step sum is a single item Advance – Decline Line using the daily closing prices of a market price series, but hourly or weekly data would work. Should gold, silver, or the Dow Jones close higher than yesterday’s close, it’s a +1. Should they close lower it’s a...

One week ago, we pointed to the then pending Federal Open Market Committee policy statement as a "non-event". Essentially 'twas, despite the buzz. And yet, au contraire, we ought be shaking in our boots now, what? No, not because 'tis Halloween, (which here in San...

October 31, 2015

A solid week for stocks as markets resting near high level resistance before a likely breakout higher. Metals were acting good and strong until the Fed released no news on their announcement. Subsequently, the gold price swiftly fell and is now breaking down and the...

Gold sector is on major sell signal. Cycle is down. COT data suggests lower prices ahead. Traders should sell short the bounces.Silver is on a long-term sell signal and investors should be in cash or short. Short-term is on sell signal and traders should sell short...

The Commitment of Traders readings for both gold and silver are at levels that have made prices vulnerable over the last four years. Commercials in silver have the largest net short position since an important top in 2008.

As a proverbial picture [chart] is worth 1,000 words, we will let the charts speak for themselves…with observations and comments attached to each one. From our perspective, the charts are saying, irrespective of what anyone is reading or following regarding gold and...

October 30, 2015

My first public market call in the metals complex was made back in 2011, at which time I was looking for a top in the gold market at $1,915. While it came quite close to the actual top struck in the market ($1,921), many thought me to be less than credible in...

The precious metals sector sharply reversed course after the Federal Reserve hinted that it may raise rates at its next meeting. This about face from the Fed was enough to effectively end the fledgling rally that began in the summer and threatened to take metals and...

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