FOREX-Dollar hits more-than 1-year high after U.S. jobs data; sterling tumbles

November 5, 2021

New York (Nov 5) - The dollar hit a more-than one-year high on Friday after data showed the United States created more jobs than expected in October, pushing the country closer to full employment, one of the Federal Reserve's conditions for raising interest rates.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 531,000 jobs last month as the surge in COVID-19 infections over the summer subsided, offering more evidence that economic activity was regaining momentum early in the fourth quarter.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast payrolls rising by 450,000 jobs.

"If these numbers continue at this pace, we could probably see full employment at the end of the first quarter," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Securities.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six rivals, rose as high as 94.634 after the jobs report, its highest level since Sept. 25, 2020.

The greenback, which has strengthened around 1% in the past fortnight, was last up 0.22% at 94.534.

"With the Fed's forward guidance on rates largely linked to the recovery in the labor market, today's positive employment data resulted in the U.S. two-year yield climbing over two basis points on the day before moderating somewhat," said Simon Harvey, senior FX market analyst at Monex Europe.

"Widening front-end yield spread drove the reaction in FX markets, with the dollar going bid across the G10 space."

Investors have been forced to reset monetary policy expectations this week, after some of the biggest global central banks knocked back bets for early rate hikes.

The Bank of England's decision on Thursday not to lift rock-bottom benchmark rates proved the biggest shock for markets and pushed sterling to its biggest one-day fall in more than 18 months by as much as 1.6% on the day.

Reuters

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