Gold price revels in safe-haven demand

April 11, 2016

Singapore (Apr 11)  Gold jumped to its highest in nearly three weeks on Monday as Asian equities slid and the dollar held close to six-month lows, burnishing demand for the safe-haven metal.

Weak economic data and uncertainty over US monetary policy have sparked risk-averse sentiment in the market, underpinning demand for safety assets such as gold and the Japanese yen, which is trading near levels not seen since 2014.

Spot gold rose to $1,250.46/oz early on Monday, its highest since March 22. It later pared some gains to trade up 0.8% at $1,249.70/oz by 2.02am GMT, following its best weekly gain in five weeks last week.

"Markets are still jittery about what’s going on in the global economy... and gold is the preferred safe-haven," said OCBC Bank analyst Barnabas Gan.

Gold would remain elevated in the short term, Mr Gan said, but he expected the metal to give back some of its gains later in the year as the Federal Reserve carried out two rate hikes.

Higher rates would weigh on gold by lifting the opportunity cost of holding nonyielding bullion. The waning expectation for further rate increases this year helped gold to its best quarter in nearly 30 years in the three months to March.

Fed chairwoman Janet Yellen on Thursday said the US economy was on a solid course and still on track to warrant further interest rate hikes. The US central bank raised rates in December for the first time in nearly a decade.

New York Fed president William Dudley on Friday said the central bank should approach further rate hikes cautiously and gradually because of lingering external risks to the US economy, despite some strength at home and welcome hints of inflation. The dollar slid 0.15% against a basket of major currencies, falling close to last week’s low of 94.015, also the lowest since mid-October. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.4%, while Japan’s Nikkei average fell nearly 2%.

Data on Friday showed hedge funds and money managers cut their net long positions in gold futures and options in the week to April 5, but still not far from a two-month high.

Assets in SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 0.22% to 817.81 tonnes on Friday.

Source: bdLive.za

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