Are Central Banks Getting Ready To Crash The System Again?

June 19, 2017

While investors pile into Tech Stocks based on endless promotion from the financial media, the US economy is rolling over.

Last week the NY Fed downgraded its economic forecast for 2Q17 to just 1.9%. Even worse, it is now forecasting 2017 total growth to be a measly 1.5%.

Yes, 1.5%.

There is a clear trend to this chart…and it’s NOT up.

Source: NY Fed

Wait, it gets worse.

The Citi Surprise Index has collapsed to levels not seen since 2011.

Source: Yardeni Research

The last time this index was at these levels, the Fed was about to launch Operation Twist to provide additional liquidity to the markets.

Today, the Fed is about to start WITHDRAWING liquidity from the markets. And not a little: $10 billion per month this quarter, and $20 billion per month in 4Q17.

What’s The Deal Here?

The Fed is “taking away the punchbowl” from the markets. Sure, stocks might hold up relatively well today or tomorrow, but the reality is that the $14 trillion market rig of the last seven years is ending. Globally Central Banks are going to begin withdrawing stimulus from the system, as global credit is already decelerating at a pace not seen since the Great Crisis.

A Crash Is Coming.

And smart investors will use it to make literal fortunes from it.

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Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Research, an independent investment research firm based in the Washington DC-metro area with clients in 56 countries around the world.

Graham’s clients include over 20,000 retail investors as well as strategists at some of the largest financial institutions in the world (Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Royal Bank of Scotland, UBS, and Raymond James to name a few). His views on business and investing has been featured in RollingStone magazine, The New York Post, CNN Money, Crain’s New York Business, the National Review, Thomson Reuters, the Glenn Beck Show and more.

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