If Not Now…When?

December 12, 2016

A strange week for me being down while markets are ripping higher. I just didn’t hit the right stocks and that’s all there is too it. That will change.

The metals tried to move up with silver leading. However, that effort failed quickly…so if they can’t get going during this seasonally strong time of year, when can they?

With an expected interest rate rise coming Wednesday, expect some wild action across the board and doubly so in the metals.

Gold lost 1.35%.  Just not being able to move past the $1,180 resistance level isn’t great at all - and now a break below $1,160 looks to be here. Support sits below at $1,140 next.

Silver tried to rally past $17, then $17.25 but failed and ended the week up just 0.80%. Not great action at all on this silver chart. Moreover, we have to consider a move down to support at $15.30 as a real possibility before the year is out.

If we can somehow move above $17.25, then we should have a solid low in place. However, I’m not seeing much chance of that on this chart.

Platinum dropped 1.90% and looks set to continue lower. Looks like some support at the $900 level will be tested over the next day or two.

Palladium fell 1.40%...but may be ready to turn higher again very soon.

We’re seeing the 21-day moving average hold very nicely here - and if we can break above the downtrend channel around $750, then we should be at the start of a move to take us up to $800.

The big action will come Wednesday as we all but certainly see interest rates increase. Consequently, we should see a trend established by Thursday or Friday.

The charts tell me that trend will be higher…but time will tell.

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Warren Bevan is a renowned trader who’s honed his craft over the years learning the styles and techniques of Jesse Livermore, William O’Neil and Dan Zanger and forming his own unique style. He focuses on making money and going hard when the right markets present themselves and during the rest of the time focuses on capital preservation.  He focuses on the leading fast moving stocks during the good times.  He is a proud Canadian, traveler, explorer, and consummate market geek who tells it as he sees it. Warren’s website is www.wizzentrading.com and his email address is warren@wizzentrading.com

China is the world’s biggest gold producer with more than 355 tons annually. Australia is second.