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Gold Editorials & Commentary

April 21, 2017

The paper silver open interest on the Comex is at all-time highs.  The previous all-time high was 224k contracts when the price of silver was pushing $50 in 2011.  The current paper silver open interest is 229k contracts with the price of silver at $18.  At least...

A few days ago, I postulated that despite the seasonal weakness most were anticipating in May and despite the sharp increase in Commercial shorting that was still below 2016 levels, the precious metals would buck conventional wisdom and advance further into even...

April 20, 2017

On technical aspects, gold is at a five-month high and surged above its 200-day moving average for the first time since November 2016. For four months, we've been researching some of the most advanced strategies to own gold, as we want to store wealth, but also grow...

Trump is speaking… but the markets still don’t hear him. On January 17th 2017, the Wall Street Journal published an article in which Trump stated point-blank that the $USD is “too strong.”The US currency took note, falling over 1% that day bringing it to critical...

Gold has no counter-party risk in a 2008-style crash. The continual devaluation of the US dollar is inevitable. Gold will eventually return to its true historic role as money. The destruction of government balance sheets, continual devaluations, and the widespread...

Before we look at tonight’s charts I would like to thank Sir Plunger for putting on the short oil trade this week while I was recovering from surgery. You won’t find a more through and in depth look at oil than what Sir Plunger offered. And wouldn’t you know it his ...

David McWilliams has written an interesting article in which he puts forward the case that Trump is likely to turn on the “enemy within,” the Federal Reserve and bully them into “printing money.” He points out that this was seen in 1971 when Nixon bullied the Fed...

April 19, 2017

Looking to diversify your portfolio? Choose investments with a low correlation to stocks and bonds. Hard assets like oil, real estate, natural gas, and other commodities fit the bill. But seasoned investors usually go for physical precious metals.

With much of the price action in gold driven by sentiment and technical analysis, you should keep an eye on the broader trends, even if you consider yourself a buy-and-hold investor. Traders use technical analysis to predict future market moves based on recent price...

SPDR gold (GLD) shares are currently trading at $122.14 per share. On Thursday (13 April 2017), the price of precious metals rose sharply after US President Donald Trump took a swipe at the USD, saying that it was trading too strong. The US Dollar Index has...

After surging towards $1300, gold is taking a well-deserved short- term rest.  Can the rally continue? Geopolitics news has gotten most of the credit for this rally, but Indian dealers have been buying huge amounts of gold in preparation for the April 28 wedding...

April 18, 2017

Western economies are “recovering”. How do we know this? We are told this, over and over and over again by our governments. Then this assertion is repeated thousands of times more by the dutiful parrots of the corporate media.

There still seems to be some doubt in many investors’ minds on how much gold there is in the world.  I continue to receive emails from individuals who read articles stating that the amount of gold in the world is much greater than the official estimate.  Recently, I...

President Donald Trump sent currency markets into a tizzy late Wednesday when he signaled his preference for a weaker dollar. “I think our dollar is getting too strong, and partially that’s my fault because people have confidence in me,” Trump told the Wall Street...

Gold and silver went up as the dollar went down, +$33 and +0.53 -64mg gold and -.05g silver. The prices of the metals in dollar terms are readily available, and the price of the dollar in terms of honest money can be easily calculated. The point of this Report is to...

April 17, 2017

As if you need more proof that inflation is finally starting to pick up, lumber prices rose to a 12-year high last week, supported mainly by expectations that steep duties will soon be levied on cheap softwood imports from Canada. Lumber futures rose to nearly $415...

No one familiar with financial market history would deny the fact that gold and the US dollar are negatively correlated, meaning that they normally move in opposite directions. Due to the close relationship between stocks and the dollar, gold typically finds itself...

The best performing precious metal for the holiday-shortened week was silver, up 3.01 percent, followed by gold, up 2.66 percent as geopolitical risks surrounding Syria and North Korea sparked demand for haven assets. Gold settled above its 200-day average for the...

Truth is a rare commodity on Wall Street. You have to sift through tons of dirt to find the golden ore. For example, main stream analysis of the Fed's current monetary policy claims that it will be able to normalize interest rates with impunity. That assertion could...

The economy is now in VERY serious trouble. The Fed’s own GDP models now show 1Q17 growth tracking at just 0.5%. This is DOWN from an original forecast of 3.2% in February. Put another way, the economy has begun contracting at a RAPID pace.

June Gold ended the week consolidating for a likely push to a minor rally target at 1303.00. An equally compelling pattern of somewhat larger degree targets 1305.70, so you should be prepared for stall at one number or the other. As always, if a Hidden Pivot as...

We entered into a Mercury Retrograde period on April 9, which I have said before is like trading in the Bermuda Triangle, difficult at best! Typically, this usually portends a turn in the precious metals market within about 2-4 trading days. As far as the stock...

It is not uncommon for many people to get a little, ok VERY, excited when word of a television show focusing on their industry surfaces. In my case, the industry is investment markets and the show is ’Billions’. I can remember just over a year ago being out with...

After adhering to the scenario projected in the last letter, SPX may be ready to reverse course again with a rally in a downtrend which could retrace a minimum of 50% of the decline from 2378 to 2353 before resuming its downtrend.  Should it exceed that level with...

April 16, 2017

The gold price in 2017 has pushed through resistance levels this past week. It has rallied to its highest level since November 2016. But will gold prices sustain their newfound heights?

"Thank you, Mr. President." And as for last week's 180° out-of-phase missive entitled "We See Gold Working Lower Near-Term", we need only cue the 1966 Bob Hope classic "Boy, Did I Get A Wrong Number!" For as the above panel shows, gold soared off the surface from...

April 15, 2017

Thinking about the 105th anniversary of the sinking Titanic, the Titanic-sized debt in the world, and the role of central bankers… The RMS Titanic departed Southampton, England at noon on April 10, 1912 and struck an iceberg in the North Atlantic just before...

In Part I I explained the counter-party risk that is all around us - and will come to the fore in the next financial crisis. In this second part I reflect on the rescue operations of the Fed following the 2008/2009 recession and the following QEs and ZIRP policies...

April 14, 2017

After a long wait, our President has finally presented his budget blueprint “to make America great again”. Let’s analyze its possible impact on the gold market. First, we need to praise a 1.2 percent cut in discretionary spending, on balance. In particular, Trump...

The get-no-respect gold-stock sector is in a strong young bull market. Past gold-stock bulls have grown to utterly-massive proportions before giving up their ghosts, greatly multiplying the wealth of contrarian investors and speculators. Today’s gold-stock bull is...

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