Gold edges up on weaker dollar, China data fuels growth concerns
New York (July 12) - Gold rose on Friday and was on track to post a weekly gain, supported by an easing dollar and weaker than expected Chinese trade data which stoked global growth concerns.
Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,406.80 per ounce as of 1014 GMT. Gold has risen about 0.5% so far this week.
U.S. gold futures rose 0.1% to $1,407.60 an ounce.
“We have (China’s) trade data out this morning which disappointed mainly on the import side, suggesting the Chinese economy is still struggling,” said Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke.
“This provided fuel to the growth worries, so that’s why gold as a safe haven is benefiting.”
China’s exports fell in June as the United States ramped up trade pressure, while imports shrank more than expected, pointing to further strains on the world’s second-largest economy.
Also helping gold was the dollar index, which eased for a third straight session as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation data failed to shake convictions that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates this month.
Despite the robust core U.S. consumer price index data, money markets still indicated one rate cut at the end of July and a cumulative 64 basis points in cuts by the end of 2019.
“The comments from the Fed and the minutes this week were on the dovish side and have given the market hope that there might be a chance of a 50 basis point cut,” said ABN Amro analyst Georgette Boele.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated on Thursday that a rate cut is likely at the Fed’s next meeting as businesses slow investment due to trade disputes and their impact on global growth.
Spot gold has risen more than 11% since it touched the year’s low of $1,265.85 per ounce in May, mainly on expectations of aggressive monetary policy easing and growth worries.
“The market is clearly more aggressive than we are, so there is some potential for disappointment on the rate side,” Menke said.
“So, if we don’t get three rate cuts by the end of the year this could be a trigger for a little bit of a short-term correction in gold.”
On the technical side, spot gold is biased to break a support at $1,404 per ounce and retrace to the next support at $1,387, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Elsewhere, silver was steady at $15.11 per ounce and platinum dipped 0.6% to $816.
Palladium fell 0.5% to $1,553.50 an ounce, edging away from a 16-week peak of $1,605.52 touched in the previous session.
Reuters
