Wall Street Seen Lower As World Equities Slump On China Sell-off

January 4, 2016

New York (Jan 4)  Early indications suggest that  Wall Street  stocks may open Monday's session notably lower, as global equities plunged following  China's  opening horror show. After a private survey showed manufacturing activity in  China  contracted at a faster pace, Chinese stocks sold off close to 7%, triggering circuit breaker trading halt. The rest of  Asia  also wilted, and despite the release of fairly strong domestic manufacturing activity data, European stocks are deep in the red. Added to  China  fears, geopolitical tensions surrounding the standoff between  Iran  and  Saudi Arabia  exacerbated as the latter severed diplomatic ties with the former, sending oil higher. Two separate US manufacturing readings and M&A news, if any, may also impact sentiment.

As of  6:15 am ET  , the Dow futures are slumping 261 points, the S&P 500 futures are plunging 29.25 points and the Nasdaq 100 futures are sliding 75.25 points.

US stocks ended the last week of the year 2015 on a down note, capping off a year of volatility engendered by Fed rate hike fears and the precipitous slump of commodities, spearheaded by oil.

Jobs and private sector activity data are among key economic readings scheduled for release in the unfolding week, as traders seek additional clarity on the economic outlook in the New Year. The spotlight is likely to be on the  Labor Department's  monthly non-farm payrolls data for December, ADP's US private sector payrolls data for December, weekly jobless claims data, the results of the  Institute for Supply's  national manufacturing and non-manufacturing surveys for December and  Markit's  final manufacturing and service sector PMIs for December.

Monthly US auto sales results for December, some Fed speeches and the minutes of the  December 2015   FOMC  meeting, where the Fed began its monetary policy normalization by announcing its first hike in about a decade, could also be on the radar. The  Commerce Department's  construction spending, trade balance, factor orders, and wholesale trade data, all for November and the  Federal Reserve's  consumer credit report for November round up the economic events of the week.

 Markit  is set to release its final US manufacturing PMI data for December at  9:45 am ET  . Economists expect the index to be upwardly revised to 52.8 from the flash estimate of 51.3, up slightly from the November reading of 52.6.

The  Institute for Supply Management  is due to release the results of its national manufacturing survey for December at  10 am ET  . The consensus estimate calls for an increase in the manufacturing PMI to 49.2 from 48.6 in November.

Also at  10 am  , the  Commerce Department  is scheduled to release its construction spending data for November. Economists expect construction spending growth of 0.7% month-over-month.

In corporate news, reports suggest that Shire (SHPG) is in advanced talks to buy  Baxalta  (BXLT), a spin-off unit of Baxter (BAX) for about  USD32 billion  in cash and stock. It may be recalled that earlier in July,  Baxalta  spurned a  USD30 billion  all stock offer by Shire.

Tesla (TSLA) announced that it delivered 17,400 cars in the fourth quarter, including 17,192 Model S cars, taking the total deliveries for the year to 50,580.

 Fiat  (FCA) announced that the separation of  Ferrari  (RACE) from the company is completed on  January 3rd, 2016  .  Fiat  shareholders are eligible to receive one share of  Ferrari  for every 10  Fiat  shares they hold.

The major Asian averages experienced intense sell-off, as  China  halted trading in the afternoon after the Shanghai Composite Index plunged 7% in reaction to factory activity data. Oil's climb in the wake of geopolitical tensions also triggered anxiety. The  New Zealand  market was closed for a public holiday.

Risk aversion heightened sending the yen higher and this spooked export heavy  Nikkei  225 average of  Japan  . The index ended down 582.73 points or 3.06% at over a month closing low of 18,451.  Australia's  All Ordinaries closed 21.80 points or 0.41% lower at 5,323.

 China  halted trading roughly 90 minutes ahead of the open and the index was at a 2-1/2 month low of 3,296 when trading was halted, down 242.92 points or 6.86%.  Hong Kong's   Hang Seng Index  lost 587.28 points or 2.68% before ending at a 2-week low of 21,327.

On the economic front, Chinese manufacturing PMI released by  Markit  and Caixin showed that manufacturing activity continued to contract in December. The PMI eased to 48.2, belying expectations for a 0.3-point increase to 48.9, as weak orders and renewed decline in output impacting the number.

Data released by the  Australian Industry Group  showed that manufacturing activity expanded at a slower pace in December, with the corresponding PMI at 51.9, down from 52.5 in November. The final  Nikkei  /  Markit  manufacturing PMI for  Japan  was unchanged at 52.6 in December, but up 0.1 points from the flash estimate.

European stocks are also sharply lower, as the Chinese sell-off assumed global proposition. The averages opened notably lower and fell further in early trading. The French CAC 40 Index, the  UK  FTSE 100 Index and the German DAX Index are down about 2% or more. The weakness lingers despite the release of final manufacturing reports from the region, which were mostly positive.

In corporate news,  E.ON  said it has separated its operations from Uniper, effective  January 1, 2016  . The company expects the spin-off of Uniper to take place later in 2016 following approval by  E.ON  shareholders.

On the economic front, final readings released by  Markit  showed that eurozone December manufacturing PMI came in at 53.2, up from November's 52.8 and the flash reading of 53.1. The German manufacturing PMI was also upwardly revised to 53.2 from 53, while in November the index was at 52.9. However,  France's  December manufacturing PMI was downwardly revised to 51.4 from 51.6, although it is still up from 50.6 in November.

The  Markit  /CIPS  UK  manufacturing PMI unexpectedly fell to 51.9 in December from 52.5 in November, while the consensus estimate was at 53.

Source: AllianceNews

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