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Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.

 

Another fun week is finally over. So many traders have logged off for the year so with the lighter volume comes volatility and the week didn't disappoint.

Another fun week is finally over. So many traders have logged off for the year so with the lighter volume comes volatility and the week didn't disappoint.

One of the more unusual manifestations of the financial meltdown this year has been the dollar spike, that caught a lot of traders by surprise, and was generated in part by a stampede into the percieved safety of short-expiry US Tr

As these words are being written, there are two extraordinarily worrying facts in the world's financial markets:

December 2, 2008, was a landmark in the saga of the collapsing international monetary system, yet it did not deserve to be reported in the press: gold went to backwardation for the first time ever in history.

The USGovt and financial system is growing deep commitments to support dead entities. Their business models have failed. They are bankrupt.

THE DANGER AND PITFALLS OF LOW INTEREST RATES

Here is our monthly update on major indexes for our international investors.



It has been an incredible year loaded with surprises but I think that the next few years will surprise even more. Whenever I feel certain about something coming, I 'm glad to put it in print.

For USA readers we wish you a Happy Thanksgiving. We have a lot to be grateful for if we sit and make a list. Sure, there's a lot we don't like and a depression may be coming to America, but take a look around.

So the trough is about to be refilled, this time with even more feed - $800 billion to be precise. Thanks to the Fiat money system this extra liquidity can simply be created out of thin air, all it takes is a few keystrokes.

The OMEN for a powerful shift in the gold market in my playful mind was the very real earthquake on November 18 here in Costa Rica, a clear signal from the financial gods, no minor tremor, measured at 6.0 on the Richter scale.

As this is going to be the last of these Updates, it is appropriate to review the reasons for writing this series of articles on Elliott Wave and the gold price.

Shining gold prices & gold stocks and slippery Oil prices and energy stocks

The jump in the gold price on Friday November 21st 2008 may be the harbinger of a sea change in attitudes in the markets in general.

Furthering the discussion of the Gold to Dow ratio, the author stated that the ratio of one Gold ounce to one DOW average, which peaked at over 40:1 recently, may go to a fraction to 1 or as low as .03:1 or a price of gold over $50

Gold has remained in a narrowing trading range since the last update late in October, which is looking increasingly like an intermediate base area that will lead to a significant advance.

A major challenge looms large on the immediate horizon. The USEconomy must be reflated in order to avoid collapse. Debts have become a crippling factor.

There comes a time that Man deceives himself to such an extent that he refuses to believe that Natures Laws even exist.

"Democracy is a form of government that cannot long survive, for as soon as the people learn that they have a voice in the fiscal policies of the government, they will move to vote for themselves all the money in the treasury, and

Gold investors are peculiar creatures. Cagey, alert, a bit suspicious, they always have a foot in the door no matter how good the room looks.

“Time is more important than price; when time is up price will reverse.”

W.D.Gann

In economics, inflation is a rise in the general level of prices of goods and services in an economy over a period of time.

There are those who have been arguing vociferously for some years now that the world will be better off under a gold standard.

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A medical study in France during the early twentieth century suggests that gold is an effective treatment for rheumatoid arthritis.

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