Gold Ends Lower On Global Cues

August 4, 2014

Washington  (Aug 4)   Gold futures ended lower Monday, on cues from rising global equity markets prompting investors to seek riskier assets with little or no significant economic data release for direction. Investors also continued to mull over the state of the US economy and the possible timing of the Federal Reserve's rate hike.

Meanwhile, the  Finance Ministry of the Government of India  indicated there would be no easing in its gold import curbs any time soon, reasoning that the move could impact the country's Current Account Deficit situation due to the geopolitical tensions prevailing in  Iraq  and other places.  India  is one of the largest consumers of gold in the world.

Gold for December delivery, the most actively traded contract, dropped  USD5.90  or 0.5% to close at  USD1,287.70  an ounce on the Comex division of the  New York Mercantile Exchange  on Monday.

Gold for December delivery scaled an intraday high of  USD1,296.40  and a low of  USD1,287.00  an ounce.

On Friday, gold futures ended higher on some disappointing data from the US with employment rising less than expected with unemployment rate increasing. Last week, gold futures shed about 0.7%.

Holdings of  SPDR Gold Trust  , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, remained unchanged at 801.84 from its previous close on Monday.

The dollar index, which tracks the US unit against six major currencies, traded at 81.33 on Monday, up from its previous close of 81.31 late Friday in North American trade. The dollar scaled a high of 81.38 intraday and a low of 81.29.

The euro traded lower against the dollar at  USD1.3421  on Monday, as compared to its previous close of  USD1.3432  late Friday in North American trade. The euro scaled a high of  USD1.3432  intraday and a low of  USD1.3410  .

The US economic calendar is relatively light this week, with the ISM services and factory orders data due on Tuesday before reports on trade balance and weekly jobless claims due out later in the week.

On Thursday, the  European Central Bank  , which provided additional stimulus last month, will announce its policy decision.

In economic news,  Portugal's  central bank unveiled a plan to rescue one of the country's largest lenders,  Banco Espirito Santo  , late Sunday after it reported a record  EUR 3.6 billion  first-half loss. The plan provides the general activity and assets of the troubled BES to be transferred immediately to a new company called  Novo Banco  .

The equity capital of  Novo Banco  , to the amount of  EUR 4.9 billion  , will be fully underwritten by the  Resolution Fund  set up by  Portugal  in 2012. The loan granted by the State to the  Resolution Fund  will be temporary and replaceable by loans granted by credit institutions. The funding of treasury will be repaid eventually by the sale of the new institution and this will safeguard public money, the finance ministry said.

Meanwhile,  India's  central bank is widely expected to leave its interest rates unchanged on Tuesday as it awaits more signs on the price front to confirm a slowdown in inflation.

The repo rate, the rate at which the Reserve Bank of  India  lends to banks, is likely to be maintained at 8.00% for the third straight policy meeting. The rate has been raised by 75 basis points since  Raghuram Rajan  took over as the head of the central bank last September. The central bank is also expected to retain its reverse repo rate at 7.00%. The reverse repo rate is the rate at which the central bank accepts deposits from banks. The cash reserve ratio is also likely to be retained at 4%.

Source: AllianceNews

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