2001 Bear Market ????

February 5, 2001

1997, 1998, and 1999 all had some dramatic times for the stock market. Each year featured days where the DJIA fell more than 500 points in a single day. And each year featured dramatic rallies after those drops. Everything changed in the year 2000. The Nasdaq had a genuine bear market, while the SP500 had a long, painful correction. So what is ahead in 2001? Here are a look at some of the recent major price swings:

We thought it might be interesting to look at the current market in terms of the historic bear markets that we feature on some of the other pages on this site. The chart below is a weekly chart of the S&P 500. This chart has been updated to reflect the new highs. The red lines show where a 10% correction and a 20% correction would take the market. The third line shows a 36% correction, which was the magnitude of the total drop in 1987.

This next chart is considerably more grim. Once again, this is a weekly chart of the S&P 500. The red lines correspond to the famous bear markets we highlight on Lowrisk.com. The first is the '87 crash (as in the chart above). The second line is the '73-74 bear market. The third line is the Nikkei bear market that started in 1990. The lowest line is the '29 crash. These lines show the type of dramatic losses that can occur in severe bear markets.


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