Gold And Silver Prices Fall 1.6% And 4.3% To Near 2 Year Lows

August 16, 2018

Gold and silver prices fell sharply again yesterday and were down 1.6% and 4.3% respectively to multi-month lows.

Gold drifted lower all day and ended near its late session low of $1173.20/oz, its lowest since January 2017, for a loss of 1.6%. Gold in euros has been more robust of late and it fell to about €1036/oz.

Gold in USD – 1 Year

Silver saw another bout of intense selling on the futures market and was pushed as low as $14.37/oz. There was no economic news or silver related developments that would account for the deepening sell-off.

It is again a purely futures-related price action with no refineries, mints or dealers reporting a sudden selling of silver bullion. Quite the opposite, contrarian gold and silver buyers are again accumulating coins and bars on the dip.

Demand for gold jewellery and gold bars has surged in Turkey due to the currency crisis. Gold trading volumes on the Turkish Gold Exchange (Borsa Istanbul) have more than doubled and gold prices in Turkish lira have surged by more than a third since March as reported by Bloomberg. Or rather the Turkish lira has collapsed in value by a third versus gold.

The sharp falls in the precious metals is being attributed to dollar strength. The U.S. dollar is holding steady near a recent peak for now, despite the increasingly precarious fiscal outlook as Trump’s reckless government spending has seen the national debt surge to $21.35 trillion – an increase of $1.45 trillion since Trump, the “King of Debt”, took office.

The precious metals are now near their lowest in nearly 2 years despite the very favourable backdrop of heightened geo-political and economic risks due to trade wars and concerns that the financial crisis in Turkey could lead to a wider global financial crisis.

Concerns about the financial crisis in Turkey, and its impact on the EU in particular, and China and the global economy’s health are badly impacting emerging market currencies. This has led to safe-haven demand for gold, but this is not resulting in gold, or silver, being bought in the futures market.

Counter-intuitively, the opposite is happening again and this has led some analysts to again believe that the gold and silver prices are being manipulated lower on futures markets. This could be done purely for profit motives by hedge funds and banks and or due to official intervention in order to curtail safe-haven demand, depress sentiment towards the precious metals and maintain confidence in risk assets and the wider markets.

As ever, it remains prudent to take a long-term view. Contrarian investors, value investors and bullion buyers, while rightly frustrated will either simply sit out the latest bout of contrived price weakness or accumulate gold and silver again at these depressed prices (see It's Time For Contrarians To Get Bullish On Gold ).

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Mark O'Byrne is executive and research director of www.GoldCore.com which he founded in 2003. GoldCore have become one of the leading gold brokers in the world and have over 4,000 clients in over 40 countries and with over $200 million in assets under management and storage.We offer mass affluent, HNW, UHNW and institutional investors including family offices, gold, silver, platinum and palladium bullion in London, Zurich, Singapore, Hong Kong, Dubai and Perth. 

One cubic foot of gold weighs more than half a ton (1,306 pounds).