Gold Price & Silver Price Shaken…Not Stirred

August 14, 2015

After a solid five day rally, gold sold off on Thursday…as precious metals miners also sold-off indiscriminately.   Both GDX and GDXJ were down almost 6%, leading many to be shaken out of position on the pullback.  For me, these events are expected and become opportunities, so let’s examine the charts to see why. (Editor’s Note:  sma refers to dma – Daily Moving Average)

GOLD – a pullback to the 10 & 20 dma as support is normal.

In 2013 at the lows, Gold had a one day slam down. Consequently, those who were shaken out of position missed out on a nice rally.

SILVER has remained strong, which is encouraging.

But what about those Precious Metal Miners…down almost 6%.

GDX –  We’ve seen high volume one day drops before, like the lows back in November.  They basically amounted to just noise, once the rally was done.   Even a deeper drop to the 10 & 20 sma would still be normal.

GDXJ – Hit the 50sma. Pullbacks like this were buying opportunities in the past.

When I see that people are getting concerned about a drop in the price of GDX or GDXJ,  I like to check the underlying mining stocks to see if their charts look healthy or sickly.   Let’s do that here.

Goldcorp Inc (GG) – This is a healthy looking run up…followed by a normal pullback.

Barrick Gold (ABX) – You can almost picture how this stock may move higher around those moving averages.  This is just an idea of how ABX can progress based on past gold rallies.

When sentiment becomes too extreme in any one direction…and everything you read is bearish, this leads to an excellent counter trend rally opportunity.  I’ve seen these types of setups many times within my professional trading career...and the current conditions are very favorable for a rally over the next several weeks.  Dips like we saw on Thursday may be your opportunity to enter at lower price.

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His name is Robert Alexander, but is probably better known as ‘Alex’ in trading forums.  He’s been a full time trader for well over a decade and began trading in the late 1990s while working in management and sales at a well-known aerospace company. Alexander’s style evolved apace with success, allowing him to leave corporate America to pursue his passion and trade full time.  Alexander’s early trading however was hit or miss. With an evolving style and a busy work schedule, his results were uneven. Dissatisfied, he dove deeply into the methods of a number of success

China is poised to become world's biggest gold consumer.