Gold Update: Gold Soaring As Inflation Reaches 30-year Highs

Technical Analysis Expert & Editor @ GoldPredict.com
November 12, 2021

fine gold

  • Gold prices have languished after spiking to new all-time highs in 2020.
  • The Fed's transitory inflation story is dead, as inflation spikes to 30-year highs.
  • Some estimate the Fed's favorite measure of inflation (PCE) could double from 3.5% to around 7.0% in 2022.

Gold's Bumpy Road

Being a gold investor over the last 18-months has been painful. Prices have fallen month after month while everything on the planet, from Dogecoin to Tesla, soared to unthinkable heights.

On the bright side, the prolonged correction allowed die-hards (like me) an opportunity to buy high-quality producers at rock-bottom valuations.

Inflation Narrative Changing

Inflation is spiking broadly and across most sectors. The Fed has moved away from its transitory narrative. At Gold Predict, we knew inflation was not transitory, but it seems much of the world bought into the story. Gold lagged but that may have just changed with the October CPI.

Consumer Price Index

  • All items rose 6.2% for the 12 months ending October.
  • The largest 12-month increase since November 1990.
  • All items less food and energy rose 4.6% over the last 12 months.
  • The largest 12-month increase since August 1991.

Note- The above inflation numbers exceed 30-year highs.

Unyielding Inflation

The Fed is receiving a harvest of unyielding inflation for injecting too much capital into the system. Without another crisis, they will likely have to raise rates in 2022, likely crashing the stock market. Between now and then however, I think inflation-sensitive assets like precious metals could soar.

GOLD DAILY CHART: Gold is approaching a critical trendline. A strong breakout above $1875 would support a run to new highs by early 2022. If this is the beginning of a powerful rally, then gold should slice through $1920 in November. The gold spring is coiled, and it could let loose.

PLATINUM DAILY CHART: Platinum is a tiny market - if money begins to enter this sector, I think prices could move quickly higher. A breakout above $1150 would be incredibly bullish.

Final Thoughts: If "Hot Money" moves out of meme stocks and starts chasing precious metals, we could see a blow-off spike higher into the first half of 2022. Precious metals are a coiled spring about to release, in my opinion.

AG Thorson is a registered CMT and expert in technical analysis. He believes we are in the final stages of a global debt super-cycle. For regular updates, please visit here.

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AG Thorson is a registered CMT through the MTA and an recognized expert in technical analysis of the precious metals markets. He is also the Editor of GoldPredict.com where members receive daily updates and regularly scheduled reports 3-days a week. He prides himself on making his analysis easy to understand through the use of adaptive and creative charting methods. You can reach AG at [email protected].

In the Aztec language the name for gold is teocuitlatl which means "excrement of the gods."

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