US Dollar Rising After Yellen Hints At Interest Rate Hike

May 27, 2016

New York (May 27)  The dollar is gaining ground against all of its major rivals Friday afternoon, after Federal Reserve Chair  Janet Yellen  signaled in her speech that a summertime interest rate hike is forthcoming.

It will be appropriate for the  Federal Reserve  to raise interest this summer if the economy continues to improve, Yellen said Friday afternoon.

"I think for the Fed to gradually and cautiously increase our overnight interest over time and probably in the coming months, such a move would be appropriate," she said at  Harvard University  .

She expects inflation to move back up to 2% objective as crude oil prices have steadied near  USD50  after plunging to  USD26  earlier in the year.

While the  Commerce Department  released a report on Friday showing stronger than previously estimated US economic growth in the first quarter, the pace of growth still reflects a significant slowdown.

The report said the pace of growth in gross domestic product was upwardly revised to 0.8% from the initial estimate of 0.5%.

Nonetheless, the revised GDP growth in the first quarter compares to the 1.4% jump seen in the fourth quarter and the 0.9% increase expected by economists.

Consumer sentiment in the US improved by less than initially estimated in the month of May, according to a report released by the  University of Michigan  on Friday, although the consumer sentiment index remained at an eleven-month high.

 The University of Michigan  said the final reading on its consumer sentiment index for May came in at 94.7, reflecting a downward revision from the preliminary estimate of 95.8.

The downwardly revised index came in below economist estimates for a reading of 95.5 but was still well above the final April reading of 89.0.

The dollar has climbed to over a 2-month high of  USD1.1110  against the Euro this afternoon, from a low of around  USD1.12  this morning.

 France's  consumer confidence unexpectedly strengthened in May to its highest level in more than fifteen years, as households were less pessimistic regarding their future financial situation and saving intentions for the next 12 months, figures from INSEE showed Friday.

The consumer confidence index rose to 98 from 94 in March and April. Economists had expected the measure to remain steady.

The buck has risen to around  USD1.4610  against the pound sterling this afternoon, from an early low of  USD1.4688  .

Consumer confidence in the  UK  showed a bit of improvement in May but remained pessimistic, the latest survey from GfK revealed on Friday with an index score of -1. That beat forecasts for -4 and was an improvement over April's -3, although it still was negative.

The greenback has broken out to around  Y110.350  against the Japanese Yen this afternoon, from a low of  Y109.451  this morning.

Consumer prices in  Japan  fell 0.3% on year in April, the  Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications  said on Friday. That beat forecasts for -0.4%, although it weakened from -0.1% in March.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food prices, also dipped 0.3%. That was unchanged from the previous reading and it beat forecasts for -0.4%.

SOURCE: AllianceNews

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