Latest Gold Price Forecast & Predictions
| Period | 2 Days | 3 Days | 1 Week | 2 Weeks | 1 Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change | 0.00% | +2.12% | +2.60% | +1.80% | +2.37% |
Gold Price Forecasts - Analyst Predictions
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Another big bank has raised its gold forecast.
This time, it’s JPMorgan expressing more bullish sentiment despite the recent correction.
The big bank raised its 2026 gold forecast from $5,055 per ounce to $6,300.
JPMorgan analysts note that the 11 percent correction late last month ranks alongside some of the largest down days in gold's history, including January 1980's 13 percent fall and the 12 percent slump in February 1983.
However, they emphasize gold bugs shouldn’t be worried.
"Even with the recent near-term volatility, we remain firmly bullishly convinced in gold over the medium-term on the back of a clean, structural, continued diversification trend that has further to run amid a still well-entrenched regime of real asset outperformance vs. paper assets."
JPMorgan analysts also lay out a case for $8,000 gold if households meaningfully increase their allocations. This underscores that while gold may become oversold at times, it is still significantly underinvested.
There has been growing interest in gold as a portfolio diversifier. Last fall, Morgan Stanley CIO Michael Wilson said investors should consider abandoning the traditional 60/40 equity/bond portfolio allocation and adopt a 60/20/20 distribution with 20 percent allocated to precious metals.
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From the comments made in past months, Gold's larger rally phase was projected to hold up into February of this year, plus or minus, though with the recent 'mini-panic' drop well overdue in the Gold market.
Gold's 10-Day Cycle
For the short-term picture, our smallest-tracked wave in the Gold market is the 10-day cycle, which is shown on the chart below:
From my 1/25/26 article: "our 10-day wave is now 4 trading days along, with the average rallies having taken some 4-7 trading days before topping. With that, the next short-term peak - and correction - should come from this cycle, which is next projected to trough into early-February, plus or minus."
As mentioned above, back on January 25th our 10-day wave was 4 days along, with the average rallies having taken 4-7 trading days before topping. From that article, price went on to spike another 600 points in the following days,...
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Gold Price Forecast FAQ
How do you forecast the price of gold?
Predicting gold prices can be said to be both a science and an art. For example, analysis of gold supply and demand is scientific and completely objective whereas aspects of technical and sentiment analysis of the current gold market can be more of an art as it relies on the skills and perspective of the gold analyst.
Generally speaking, when the focus of the gold forecast is longer term then analysis of the fundamentals, ie scientific analysis, comes to the fore.
For shorter-term predictions of gold prices, the price of gold in the coming weeks and perhaps few months, technical analysis of past and current gold prices, market trends, as well as current market sentiment can be more actionable predictors. Here, the fundamentals can still play a role but generally serve more as background details.
What are the key factors for long term gold forecasts?
When forecasting what may happen to the price of gold longer term, there are many things to consider including economic trends, the impact of current and expected monetary policy, QE, debt monetization, and the aggregate impact on future currency valuation.
Does the price of gold go up when the stock market goes down?
The price of gold is often negatively correlated to the stock markets. When the markets go down, gold prices usually go up. However, this is not always true. Sometimes the price of gold and stocks both go up and down in unison. Fundamental factors play an important role and need to be carefully analyzed. Historically, however, the price of gold is not tied to the fluctuations of stock and bonds. This is one of the chief reasons when one should have gold in their portfolio – to protect the long-term value of your investments.
Does the value of the US dollar predict the price of gold?
As gold is traditionally quoted in US dollars, the price of gold is negatively correlated to the strength of the USD. The weaker the US dollar, the cheaper it is to purchase gold. Therefore, if economic factors predict a strengthening of the US dollar then this will tend to drop the price of gold, and vice-versa. According to the statistics (since 1973), the long-term correlation between the U.S. dollar index and the gold prices is -0.6 so this link is quite strong.
How do US interest rates impact future gold prices?
The level of US interest rates is an important driver of future gold prices. When investing in gold, the investor is faced with the opportunity cost of gold - a non-interest bearing asset. The higher the US interest rate for holding US dollars or investing in Treasuries, the higher the opportunity cost of holding gold. It is more likely, therefore, that a rally in the price of gold will be forecasted the lower the US benchmark interest rate.














