first majestic silver

Fed, BOJ, & Jobs: A Big Week For Gold

President of Graceland Investment Management
July 30, 2024

The news for gold is becoming more positive.  

For example, last week’s import tax cut in India is a new pillar of support for demand and Friday’s PCE report increased the odds of a September rate cut from the Fed.  

This week brings key central bank rate decisions from both the Fed and the BOJ on Wednesday. In addition, the US jobs report is scheduled for Friday.  

US corporations are reporting a lot of disappointing sales and earnings… and this week’s jobs report is likely to reflect the slump.

The BOJ appears set to hike rates and reduce its monthly bond purchases. 

That should send the yen surging through the key 66 resistance zone. That could be the catalyst for the next collapse in the DXY (the US dollar index).

Tomorrow, the Fed is likely going to sound very positive about an imminent rate cut.

Oil is sinking while Israel’s IDF and Hezbollah trade significant barbs… and bombs.

That can only happen if the global economy is softening. Fed chief Jay is likely now more concerned about the collapsing demand for key commodities than about sticky inflation. 

This is the exciting Dow and gold synergy chart. The Dow sports a very bullish flag-like rectangular drift and gold looks “eager” to burst out of its rectangle formation… and begin a surge straight towards $2600! 

With Aug1-Oct31 stock market “crash season” dead ahead, the QQQ (Nadaq ETF) has an ominous H&S top.

In contrast to gold and the Dow, the Nasdaq and S&P500 are perhaps best described as stock market “riff raff” indexes.

They follow “Daddy Dow” around like children, spurting ahead at times, then collapsing… and wiping out a lot of silly investors who tried to outperform the Dow while failing to embrace gold.

Speaking of gold, the greatest money in the history of the world:

This is the fabulous daily chart. The RSI oscillator tends to move between 70 and 50 in a strong market, and that’s what it’s doing now.

Stochastics is moving towards the oversold zone and our latest buy alert (of modest size) issued for the $2385-$2365 zone looks fantastic.

A daily focus on the big picture (fundamental, cyclical, and technical) is critical for investors as inflation, recession, the 2021-2025 war cycle, a wildly overvalued stock market, debt ceiling horror, and empire transition dominate the investing landscape. I cover this big picture 5-6 times a week in my flagship Galactic Updates newsletter. At $199/year, investors feel the price is too low, but I’m offering a $179/15mths “special offer” that investors can use to get in on the winning action and meticulous analysis. Click this link to get the offer or send me an email and I’ll get you a payment link. Thanks!

There’s more good news for gold bugs and here it is: While demand is collapsing for growth commodities like oil, there is no collapse in the demand for gold. There are pockets of weakness in the jewellery sector, but there’s much more strength elsewhere.

The love trade for gold gets most of the press in the East, but there’s a massive fear trade there too.

Coin and bar sales are surging in China and so is Shanghai futures market volume! That’s the fear trade at work in Asia… and at work with size.

What about silver? 

The Stochastics lead line is approaching one of the most oversold levels of the past several years…

And it’s doing so as the price is on the outskirts of massive support. My suggested approach for aggressive and excited silver bugs is a three point buy program:

Buy one tranche right now. Buy a second one after the Fed and BOJ announcements and buy a third one after the jobs report is released on Friday.

For a look at the miners:

This is the GDX daily chart. Stoploss enthusiasts could buy now with a $35 stop. More conservative investors should wait for the jobs report before they buy.  

The Indian tax cuts, the rise of the Chinese fear trade, collapsing energy prices, and of course the incredibly comical actions of debt-obsessed governments… all in all, it’s a phenomenal time to be involved with gold, silver, and some great mining stocks around the world!

Thanks!

Cheers

St

Special Offer For Gold-Eagle Readers: Please send me an Email to [email protected] and I’ll send you my free “Get Jacked With J!” report. I highlight key GDXJ stocks that could surge after Fed man Jay’s speech this week! Both core and trading position tactics are included in the report.

Stewart Thomson

Galactic Updates

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Stewart Thomson is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am-9am. The newsletter is attractively priced and the format is a unique numbered point form. Giving clarity of each point and saving valuable reading time.

Risks, Disclaimers, Legal

Stewart Thomson is no longer an investment advisor. The information provided by Stewart and Graceland Updates is for general information purposes only. Before taking any action on any investment, it is imperative that you consult with multiple properly licensed, experienced and qualified investment advisors and get numerous opinions before taking any action. Your minimum risk on any investment in the world is: 100% loss of all your money. You may be taking or preparing to take leveraged positions in investments and not know it, exposing yourself to unlimited risks. This is highly concerning if you are an investor in any derivatives products. There is an approx $700 trillion OTC Derivatives Iceberg with a tiny portion written off officially. The bottom line:

Are You Prepared?

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Stewart Thomson is president of Graceland Investment Management (Cayman) Ltd. Stewart was a very good English literature student, which helped him develop a unique way of communicating his investment ideas.  He developed the “PGEN”, which is a unique capital allocation program. It is designed to allow investors of any size to mimic the action of the banks.  Stewart owns GU Trader, which is a unique gold futures/ETF trading service, which closes out all trades by 5pm each day. High net worth individuals around the world follow Stewart on a daily basis.  Website: www.gracelandupdates.com.


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