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Why the Breakout in Long-term Yields Will Not Resolve Inflationary

Founder & Editor @
November 16, 2023

Inflationary implications of Treasury yields were not backed by commodities or the Copper/Gold Ratio

If the trends in the CRB index and the Copper/Gold ratio (CGR) were correlated with the long decline in bond yields (disinflationary signaling), why have CRB and the CGR diverged for the entirety of the post-breakout phase in the yield?

Why? Because maybe the signal is not inflationary. Maybe a whopper of a deflation problem is out ahead. That’s why. The pivot point may already be in the books. The long-term implication of the yield breakout may imply major future inflation problems. But the next issue is likely the opposite.

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Gary Tanashian is founder and editor of the popular Notes from the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH). Gary successfully owned and operated a progressive medical component manufacturing company for 21 years, keeping the company’s fundamentals in alignment with global economic realities through various economic cycles. The natural progression from this experience is an understanding of and appreciation for global macro-economics as it relates to individual markets and sectors.

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