Gold Editorials & Commentary

Long term – on major sell signal since Mar 2012. Short term – on buy signals. Gold sector cycle – up as of 12/27. COT data continues to be favorable for a bear market rally.

Our equity/bond model - This long term reliable investing model provides investors with simple decision making in the markets:

The Fed surprised markets with its December decision that the economy is strong enough to stand on its own with less stimulus. The majority of economists and analysts expected it to wait until March for more evidence to accumulate.

Chart Analysis On Gold, Metals & DMA Victory Chart via videos.

In short: Opening a speculative short position (half of the regular position) in gold, silver and mining stocks might be a good idea right now.

Gold is bottoming, showing incredible resilience over the past 7 months. After suffering an epic plunge in last year’s second quarter, gold has held its ground ever since. This is despite still facing the same howling headwinds that forced that extraordinary...

By December, the most recent month for which statistics are available, the US dollar Fiat Money Quantity (FMQ) had grown to $12.48 trillion. This is $5.05 trillion more than if it had grown in line with the established average monthly growth rate from 1960 to the...

At the start of the year we asserted that the mining equities could lead the metals higher. Since then, the shares have roared higher while the metals have remained subdued. Gold has gained a bit but Silver has really struggled. Why are the stocks performing so well...

By now, most observers have heard of precious metals price manipulation. As the issue creeps into the mainstream, more and more investors will come to understand it - along with its vast implications.

For the first time since the end of World War II, the total US federal debt now equals 100% of the size the US economy. But while that is obviously a situation of great concern, it may not be the worst of the danger.

“The inability to predict outliers implies the inability to predict the course of history. . .But we act as though we are able to predict historical events, or, even worse, as if we are able to change the course of history. We produce thirty-year projections of...

In my last post I noted that gold could give a major buy signal in the next 2-3 weeks. Let me stress again that patience is required right here. Gold has to confirm the intermediate rally first. That means it needs to break above $1268 and make a higher high.

“Those who cannot remember the past, are condemned to repeat it.” George Santayana. What mistakes from the past are we condemned to repeat?

Per the sage Chinese saying, “A picture is worth a 1,000 words.” Consequently, the supporting arguments for my title forecast “Gold Price Could Reach $3200 And Silver $120,” will be in visual format via 20 charts.

Many analysts believe that the precious metal is DEAD due to its having fallen from a record high of $1900 per ounce to roughly $1200 per ounce today (a 36% drop).

Most who have graded Prof. Ben Bernanke’s twelve years at the Federal Reserve have issued marks which range from A to a gentleman’s C. I think those marks are much too generous. Indeed, I think a failing mark would be more appropriate.

Let’s cut to the chase. Gold and silver are about to embark on a wonderful spree of new highs. I have never had a crystal ball, and do not like to irrationally speculate on the market unless there are fundamental reasons to support a change in price one way or...

Most junior gold and silver stocks have taken a horrific beating over the past few years, even while gold prices have remained relatively elevated. Bank analysts suggest that high mine costs are largely to blame for this sell-off. Recently, naked shorting seems to...

Professor Tom Fischer has written three papers about gold backwardation and arbitrage. Across these three papers, he makes a case against the ideas of Professor Antal Fekete. I write this response solely on my own behalf.

AFTER LAGGING gold all the way up during its 12-year bull run, bank and professional-analyst consensus now sees a 14% drop in average prices during 2014.

More and more it looks like 2014 will witness a general trend change in the financial markets.

While the Flow of Gold from the West to the East continues, Western Banks Disparage Gold Ownership and Engage in the Largest Financial Crime Spree in World History. As we enter the New Year and amid a list of bearish reports on gold, issued by most of the major...

The US monetary inflation rate continues its downward drift. As at the end of December the year-over-year (YOY) rate of growth in US True Money Supply (TMS) was 7.2%, its lowest level since November of 2008. Refer to the following chart for details.

The two trend reversals everyone has been waiting a year for are about to take place, but they have not yet started. While I do think 2014 is the year we see gold, silver, miners and many other commodities rally, it is important to follow the trend and wait for a...

On The Street --- Well, Wall Street bets on the gold price for 2014 are in, and the table below shows where they stand. It appears that as a group, the big banks are hedging their bets because they are not overly bearish or bullish.

It’s always amazing to me how market sentiment can move from one extreme to the other taking the herd with it. Chartology is the study of charting and investor psychology which when you put to two together can give one an edge on where you are at any given point...

As we discussed in our last article, China has managed to acquire well over 2,000 tonnes of gold while the gold price has fallen from $1,650 to $1,180. This is a remarkable feat in itself.

According to Reuters, Deutsche Bank has decided to quit as a member of the gold and silver fixing committees in the London bullion markets. This news comes after Deutsche Bank was instructed in mid-December by BaFin, Germany’s bank regulator, to hand over documents...

Mid-March this year will mark the 5-year birthday of this current US stocks bull market. Historically what leaps to mind is the ominous Ides of March tragedy (ie March 15th).

For many commentators there are two distinct camps in the Precious Metals markets: Investors in bullion vs speculators in the paper market. These two markets are pulling in opposite directions; most media hypes, the political class and their bailed out banks and...