Gold Needs Some Giddy-up…And Soon

November 12, 2014

GZC14 60 min

The rally will need some giddy-up to escape gravity’s pull, since merely dawdling at these levels will only increase the risk of relapse below a major Hidden Pivot support at 1137.50. The support has been tested twice and done its job, but it seems unlikely to hold if it gets pummeled a third time. Bulls kept the futures out of trouble yesterday nonetheless, energizing a $27 rally that offered subscribers a low-risk opportunity to get long. I’d suggested doing so if 1158.90 was touched, which occurred during the regular session at around noon.  Even though we were using an 1195.00 target, I had also warned traders to take a profit at 1171.00, a ‘midpoint pivot’ associated with the target. This proved to be good advice, since the futures pulled back (so far) by $12 after peaking at 1172.50.

Now bulls will need to forge higher, and soon. An obvious benchmark by which we can judge their success is the 1194.10 target shown (slightly revised from yesterday).  But they’ll need to do slightly better than that, exceeding the ‘external’ peak at 1202.80 that I’ve labeled, in order to take charge. If this has not happened by Thursday night, however, a fall below 1137.50, with the implications noted above, will become an odds-on bet at week’s end.

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One cubic foot of gold weighs more than half a ton (1,306 pounds).

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