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Potential New Macro Development for Gold - Video

Author, CMT, and Editor @ The Daily Gold
July 6, 2023

I have written and spoken about the importance of a yield curve steepening for Gold, which would be triggered by a recession and bear market that leads to a plunge in short-term yields. However, I neglected to mention the curve can also steepen because long-term yields rise faster than short-term yields.

Inflation indicators, including long-term bond yields could threaten to make new highs in the weeks and months ahead. This aligns with a delayed recession that is not imminent and several quarters away.

If the Fed ends its hikes soon but inflation indicators are pushing higher, it could lead to an inflationary steepening of the curve. The 10-year yield would continue to rise as short-term yields stop rising as the Fed is done. Perhaps this is why Gold is holding up well and failed to break $1900.

The Daily Gold


Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT is a Chartered Market Technician and member of the Market Technicians Association. He is the publisher and editor of TheDailyGold Premiuma publication which emphasizes market timing and stock selection, as well as TheDailyGold Global, an add-on service for subscribers which covers global capital markets. He is also the author of the 2015 book, The Coming Renewal of Gold’s Secular Bull Market which is available for free. was recently named one of the top 50 Investment Blogs by DailyReckoning and WalletHub.

In 1933 President Franklin Roosevelt signed Executive Order 6102 which outlawed U.S. citizens from hoarding gold.
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