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Strategic Backfire On US Government Policy

March 4, 2015

It is very difficult to find a foreign policy deployed by the United States Govt that has been successful in recent years. In fact, almost all aggressive foreign policy initiatives have resulted in profound losses either in financial strategic position or in alliances with previous staid allied nations. They have almost uniformly backfired, while bravado has mixed with stupidity, while arrogance has blended with futility. The USGovt without given it thought, appears to be acting in reckless manner toward losing its entire set of advantages from a century. The nation has become hollowed out industrially by outsourcing, defrauded in housing mortgages, undermined in banks by derivatives, contaminated in USTreasury Bonds by the wildly applauded QE bond purchase wreckage, tarnished by exported terrorism, tainted by prevalent espionage, and shamed by reliance upon war to defend the USDollar. The US is fast becoming recognized as a rogue nations, but worse, as a nation with stupid leadership. The more aggressive the leadership led by the Manchurian sock puppet plus stage entourage and legion of legislators bound by bank donations, the more rapid the failures, the more rapid the development of USD workarounds, the more rapid the frayed lines to allies, the more rapid the isolation of a once great nation, the more rapid the systemic failure. Witness the climax of the Fascist Business Model, which almost no other analyst seems to emphasize or notice. The effect of fascism upon the financial platforms and economic structure has been profoundly negative. Like all fascist regimes, the attacks are directed to enemies first in direct thefts, then to allies in frauds recognized later, finally to the citizens in hidden pilferage and lost rights. The result is always the same, except for the rhyme of its ruin. The implosion is as loud as the escape flights for leaders, along with their protected off-shore accounts.


The reaction of global USDollar rejection in response to Quantitative Easing, otherwise known as hyper monetary inflation, will go down in US history, even world history, as the greatest self-inflicted gunshot wound the head and chest in two thousand years. Yet the clowns residing at the high priest post, along with the minions of genuflecting obsequious squires, call it stimulus. They see bond support and stock lifts, but little else. Even corporations have chosen stock buybacks over business investment, following the Pied Piper at the USFed. The nation is rotting completely. The QE has stimulated global economic collapse with the USFed pulling the plug on the global monetary fiat toilet paper system known as the FOREX currencies. The USDollar will be relegated to the dustbin. It is rising and rising, soon to vanish due to active avoidance followed by universal rejection. The USTreasury Bond market will be reduced to a gigantic circle jerk with high priests cheering the festivities as high frequency algorithm trading has given way to the USFed playing the music and moving the chairs, even holding the hands of the players. Musical chairs is fast becoming Russian Roulette. The banker elite has shot the nation in the head, but few have noticed.

A final End Game has begun. The current stage is the global rejection of the USDollar, the once respected revered and resilient currency which has in recent years fallen on its own Third World sword. QE is a Third World monetary policy, plainly stated. What remains is the loss of the most prestigious of the nation’s calling card, the USD as global reserve currency. By coercion, threats, and brute force, the USD remains accepted as pristine asset in the banking systems, but not for long. Its widespread usage in Indirect Exchange, the practice of dumping USTBonds in asset purchases, signals a much broader divestiture in the future whereby major nations of the world disgorge their bonds sitting in bank reserve systems. They are fast turning toxic. Their toxicity is being reinforced by the QE official monetary policy, the Final Solution for managing debts and war on a credit line. QE is a poison gas to capital itself. For a generation, economics courses taught that hyper monetary inflation is a scourge, a grand wrecking ball, but when the United States deploys it, somehow it is positive stimulus. Rubbish! Witness Pox Americana, with celebrated inflation, with labor outsourcing, with consumer driven economy, with permitted banker fraud, and with endless war.

The toxic backfire has hit Emerging Market nations squarely. The rising USD exchange rate has inflicted enormous sudden hardship on many developing nations. While the moron at the USDept Treasury post Jacob Lew pounds his proud chest on the supposed strength of the USDollar being good for the nation, the opposite is true both for the United States and foreign nations. The high USD valuation stands as a guillotine for the nation. The USEconomy loses attractiveness for its stock market shares, for its property (both residential and commercial), and for its business output for export destinations. Is Lew that stupid? No, just corrupt intellectually. The pain extends to emerging market nations, whose debt burden has suddenly risen by 20% or more. Another advantage, Jacob the Buffoon? Since 2009, the world has taken advantage of the ultra-low rates to rack up cheap debt. It was a trap, and the trap has closed. Expect some rather big stories very soon on defaulted debt. Expect some big bank failures, not just from Greek Govt debt, or other Southern European government debt to follow, but from Emerging Market debt default. They are reeling.

The USGovt cannot finance its annual deficits. So like any Third World nation, it prints money to cover the debt. The USD must be defended by war. But the actions prompt redoubled efforts to escape the USD clutches. So like any Two-Bit Fascist nation, it wages war on all parties choosing to eschew the currency with public disdain. Refer to both avoidance for trade purposes and diversification for bank reserve purposes. Few US citizens (none solicited by the Jackass so far) have shown the slightest awareness that when the USTreasurys are no longer desired in foreign banking systems, that what follows is their rejection as payment for US imports. They tend to make zero connection between the foreign bank reserves system, using the global reserve currency, and the payment system for trade settlement. In fact, almost no US citizens contacted comprehend what it means for the USD to be used as global reserve. They think only in terms of a home base currency, which happens to appear in foreign shops often. When foreign suppliers refuse the USTBonds, then comes the requirement for the USGovt to launch a new currency which will be accepted in trade payment, but only after some devaluations most assuredly to come in a painful sequence. Only then will the shock hit home, to be sure with propaganda and blame laid with Russia, China, and Arabs. My guess is that the majority of US sheeple will swallow the propaganda whole, like legions of dimwits. A small portion will lay blame at the bankers and politicians, correctly so.


The failed policies inflicted upon enemy states have grown in a long list. None are successful, all dismal failures, each implemented with hostility, bravado, and unveiled arrogance. No analysis seems to take place on a failed policy, when the next failed policy is put into place. The nation is a true exception, replete with corruption, war proclivity, and amateurish policy. Whenever the Jackass observes sanctions or a war, the immediate reaction is to search for the next significant loss in strategic position on the geopolitical stage. As preface, in the wake of the Lehman killjob to save Goldman Sachs in September 2008, the US bank leaders, even corporate leaders, were given the cold shoulder at best and formally shunned at worst. The news handed down by the Voice was that US leaders in both government and corporate posts were not given return phone calls by European counterpart leaders. The concept in my mind was born of isolation, which would grow in huge horrible horrendous ways in a rapidly growing pace. With each stumble, with each new recognized bond fraud, with each new imposed failed sanctions, with each new waged war, with each new broken treaty, the United States would be further isolated in the community of nations. It can be safely stated that anything the Washington crew touches turns to shit, and any ally approached turns to the East, all in time. Given the recent track record of failures, it is hard to dismiss claims that the US national leadership is attempting to scuttle the nation in order to cause a systemic failure. A certain lust for totalitarian rule wafts through the Beltway, and has been for a few years. The Rubin Doctrine has run out of time, as no more time can be bought. All systems are breaking in the open. The road has narrowed. The can has turned nuclear. The kicked can has crumbled.


The most glaring pointed failure has been the sanctions directed against Iran. From the start, almost no claims of nuclear weapons program stood the test of scrutiny or time. Following the Iraq War initiative, the lesson was learned easily. When Iran, like its Arab neighbor, began to trade in oil & gas for non-USD payment, it was painted as rogue nation. Next came the lies and fabrications to support the silly claims. For years, Teheran did not possess either the missile delivery technology or the sufficient refinery capacity for building any nuclear weapon. The entire story was discarded by the Jackass on its face, especially since the little puppeteer nation on the southeast corner of the Mediterranean Sea repeated the shrill cries so often in their controlled press networks. Iran reacted by fostering good relations with both Russia and China. The former supplied advanced Sunburn and Onyx missiles, while the latter completed massive energy project deals.

The USGovt backed off. A strange detente is growing between Iran and the Saudis, even the other Gulf Emirates. They have refused to play the US-Izzy war game. Then came the quintessential loss, as Iran constructed the Oil for Gold payment method. Iran sold oil to India, which purchased gold from Turkey, which sent the gold to private banks in Iran, which then swapped the gold with their central bank for cash. The Gold Trade Payment system was born, the prototype to be imitated the world over. The clever Persians found a huge loophole in the USGovt sanctions, and drove a truck through it, loaded with gold bullion bought in Ankara with Delhi cash and bound for Teheran. The USGovt sanctions against Iran have been a colossal failure. The Washington clowns forgot that big Teheran banks communicate with their central bank, much like Wall Street does with the USFed. Sometimes the cousin of aggression is stupidity.


The war following the coup d’etat in Kiev by the Fascists has been a dismal failure on its face. The entire capture of Kiev was led in clandestine manner by both Langley mercenaries and Soros mercenaries, aided in no small way by Masswipewad operatives from the Southeast corner of the Mediterranean. However, it has had many motives, listed as harangue or indictment, blessed by EU Commissioners. 1) Create a scorched earth buffer for massive criminal activity (drug trafficking, money laundering, white women trafficking, human organ trafficking, Nigerian cash fraud). Separately is the natural gas pilferage from siphoning. 2) Break any marriage between Europe and Russia. The Eurasian Trade Zone will happen, with or without a war in the decrepit nation. 3) Interrupt the Gazprom pipelines. The alternate route has already been done through Turkey. 4) Introduce Monsanto seeds for the grand European bread basket. The resistance to GMO foods is far more strident outside the industrial nations. 5) Raid Kiev gold. They bought at most a couple months time. 6) Pilfer IMF aid. No more IMF aid packages will be approved, especially since attached to war policy in unprecendented shameful manner. Surely more. The ultimate extreme outcome in backlash from the Ukraine War, which has been lost, is the eventual break-up of the European Union and the collapse of the common Euro currency region. It is coming like night follows day. The high pressure tactics used by the USGovt, combined with bribery and lush contracts, will be recognized and publicized, then used against the US. The belligerence displayed by the USGovt, including smashed truces in direct blatant manner, are being recognized. The United States will earn isolation as a rogue nation.

The result of the failed war will be an economic breakdown in Ukraine, shortage of almost everything including food (but not weapons or ammunition), hyper inflation on prices, plenty of cadavers for the underground human organ trafficking, culminating in a new equally bad regime laden with yet more corruption. The Hryvnia currency is imploding right now, a sign of the national failure. However, the bigger loss will be Europe's major nations all turning their backs on the United States, the warmongering secretive bellicose player, the magnificent rogue nation on the block. Even the direct US-UK role with ISIS supervision is being unmasked. The US will suffer grotesque isolation, then quarantine, finally liquidation as it must manage in a world without friends or allies, unless one counts UK and Izzriel. The US will be down to the core axis of fascism for allies, which aint saying much.


The Europeans are the unwilling partners in the sanctions. It is like the EU member nation leadership crew made the sanctions agreement call with the US master bellicosia, even while knowing full well they were to sit on spiked chairs, certain to be impailed. The immediate reaction was for the Kremlin to abandon the USDollar, then convert Petro-Dollars into Rubles and Gold bullion. The propaganda was laughable (although swallowed almost whole), that the Kremlin was selling gold to buffet their Ruble, draining their reserves. The truth is more like dumping the USTreasury Bonds to fortify the Ruble, while converting Oil sales proceeds into more Gold reserves. The other major effect was to encourage far more teamwork between Moscow and Beijing, a marriage of trade and finance whose nuptials are written on newly fashioned capitalist scrolls. Only the truly stupid in the US morass call Russia and China communist, when the US has turned vibrant rabid fascist.

The rapid development on non-USD platforms is both impressive and profound, many linking Beijing to Moscow. The backfire of the Russian food ban on EU farm products will eventually bankrupt numerous large agricultural businesses in Southern Europe. Red ink flows as fast as unsold farm output rots. Resentment of leaders for following the unelected EU Commissars has grown loud and shrill. Expect China to buy up the struggling farm businesses, then to divert one third of the farm output to China, amidst hue and cry. Pitchforks might be soon seen at government office steps. Already the French have dumped livestock manure on Paris official office steps. Russia has forged new deals with South American food suppliers. China is enjoying the lower oil price, not being a producer. Watch even the large US energy firms sidestep the sanctions eventually, or simply trample the sanctions in bold steps.


More backfire can be spotted from Syria. The locals recently shot down a British aircraft that was supplying the ISIS guerrillas. Lies in the Western press will cover up the event. The Iran Gas pipeline will eventually happen, and link to the Med Sea. The war is exposing how Langley, MI6, and the Saudis are behind ISIS, in planning, in supplies, in recruits, in organization, and in funds. The fabricated falsified videos of beheadings are being recognized as fake, the tell-tale signal being no blood squirts. Danger lurks, since the USMilitary under Pentagon aegis has taken up arms against Langley mercenaries. Endless war and constant chaos is the name of their game for the US War Machine. Propaganda is endless on the network news. Nothing will stop either the Iran gas routes to link up with Russian Gazprom or the naval port in Tartus remaining in Russian hands.

By now, it is quite clear that the Cyprus bank bail-ins had multiple motives. The alienated bank clients have moved out. The national government has no more attention span for the EU Commission or their haughty rule, as the rapid of Cyprus is complete. The hidden motives were to block Russian bank operations, the window to the West for which was the many Russian banks located on Cyprus. The other big hidden motives were to obstruct the Russian conversion of USTBonds into Gold bullion through the Cyprus bank window. The leaders of Cyprus have begun to pitch manure in the EU & US faces, as they are turning East with a fresh Russian naval base deal. In fact, the progress made by the Kremlin in Turkey was critical. The Turkish contingent in Cyprus offers leverage to win the copper island for Russia. Once again, the West raped a nation, and it turned East in the aftermath. Chalk up yet another key Russian Military gain. Russia will capture Ukraine, Turkey, and Cyprus. Then China will capture the entire Southern European sector known as PIGS, with their farm output. The US-UK-EU will lose all of Eastern Europe. The United States will be further isolated.


In 2014, again without much fanfare, both Russia and China paid official visits to Havana. The Kremlin forgave a chunk of the old Soviet debt, then inked a deal to expand a commercial base near the Mariel Port outside the capital. It will include an expanded marine base and expanded air base. The initial plan will focus on commerce, like a small free trade zone. Expect the plan to focus later on a new Russian Naval Base centered on Mariel, to be consummated when Cuba slips on its first debt obligation. Perhaps the military base usage is part of a hidden clause in the debt forgiveness pact. A naval base will be within view of the US shores. Both Russia & China are adding substantial direct investment in Cuba, a small strategic island nation of 11 million population. The national poverty might be addressed from the development. The leverage will be enormous, for both local benefit and a Russian Military base. The Washington clown show arrived last month, made their pitch for contracts, and were shown the door. They were called hypocrites behind their backs. The US will be cut out, most deservedly. Numerous Russian and Chinese firms will be active in the coming months, in a highly visible manner. They will hire Cuban workers, and enable trickle down. And not even mentioned was the Russian energy firm invasion into Mexico, which opened up PEMEX to foreign contractors. Not one single US energy firm contract has been spotted. The USGovt is far more pre-occupied with Mexican narcotics, and gun running to supply the drug lords. See Operation Fast & Furious a couple years back. The Chinese own major Mexican ports, just like in the United States and Canada.


The Jackass has been dubious of the Nicaraguan Canal, to be funded by $49 billion in Chinese investment. Hardly hidden are marine bases on each coast, and an airport on Pacific coast next to San Juan del Sur (a lovely partially developed coastal area). The jump from marine base to naval base, and from airport to air base, can be very quick indeed. The harbored skepticism on its completion and smooth operation comes from many extensions. Already the local resistance is considerable, for both environmental and homeland displacement. A few other critical concerns will show themselves over time, like timber wealth and dredge risks, not to mention the large Chinese contractor has exactly zero experience. The cut to the Sandinistas will be considerable. The hushed tones are wondering if the Managua regime will use the project as a retirement sendoff in jubilacion. Expect again, like in Cuba, for the marine bases to eventually feature Chinese Naval vessels and for half the airbase to eventually be run by the Chinese for supply purposes, maybe even laborers. It is hard to imagine much tourism fostered by the new airport, but it is possible. Foreign property investment would bolster the local economy, which sorely needs the infusions. The encirclement of North America by the Russian Military in Cuba and Chinese Military in Nicaragua will soon be concluded as fait acompli, a massive strategic blunder by the USGovt. With attention in Ukraine, Syria, Iran, and Yemen, the Beltway Bellicose Bozos overlooked their own backyard.


The USDollar is soon to fade into oblivion. Its rise signals its demise. The hidden dismantle of the Petro-Dollar mechanism has been full of intrigue. The Gold Standard will return, but through the trade window. The solution to the untreated Global Financial Crisis is the gold route. The Eurasian Trade Zone will be built upon the gold route, and see a revival of the Silk Road with accompanying Maritime Routes. The nascent trade zone will soon include Germany and whatever nation follows its prudent lead. The movement cannot be stopped, not even by war. In fact, the Ukraine War will eventually catalyze the Eurasian Trade Zone, with European entries harboring disgust. The safe haven is not the USDollar, but rather Gold & Silver, otherwise defined as money. Banks find refuge in bullion bars, while individuals find refuge in bars & coins. Foreign nations will find refuge by banning the USDollar in trade settlement and banking reserve systems.

The crisis is better described as the Global Monetary War. The entire world will soon be in opposition to the USDollar. The majority of nations wish to establish trade and monetary system upon gold. The rogue nation will be the United States, in more backfires from its failed foreign policy. The United States will succeed in isolating 85% to 90% of the community of nations, and thus win isolation for itself. The US faces deep risk of falling into the Third World, as such endemic characteristics grow. As the Jackass forecasted, 2015 has begun with a sequence of rocky events, as unstable factors appear in nasty sequence. The USDollar will die a horrible death, and Gold will return to its rightful throne. The US must find a new currency to use if it expects to guarantee import supply and to avoid unspeakable shortages. The West Coast dock strikes and shipping impasse have demonstrated the supply chain vulnerability. The return of Gold to its primacy is coming It is long overdue. The USD will be chucked into the dustbin. It is toxic.



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Jim Willie

Jim Willie

Jim Willie CB, also known as the “Golden Jackass”, is an insightful and forward-thinking writer and analyst of today's events, the economy and markets. In 2004 he launched the popular website that offers his articles of original “out of the box” thinking as well as content from top analysts and authors. He also has a popular and affordable subscription-based newsletter service, The Hat Trick Letter, which you can learn more about here.  

Jim Willie Background

Jim Willie has experience in three fields of statistical practice during 23 industry years after earning a Statistics PhD at Carnegie Mellon University. The career began at Digital Equipment Corp in Metro Boston, where two positions involved quality control procedures used worldwide and marketing research for the computer industry. An engineering spec was authored, and my group worked through a transition with UNIX. The next post was at Staples HQ in Metro Boston, where work focused on forecasting and sales analysis for their retail business amidst tremendous growth.

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