Will Deutsche Bank's Collapse Be Worse Than Lehman Brothers?

September 26, 2016

Few analysts noted it, but the $USD actually staged its second strongest day of the year the Friday before last.

The only other day in which the $USD rallied more was on the day of BREXIT, a black swan event that featured EXTREME currency volatility.

This move tells us something BIG is afoot “behind the scenes” in the financial system.

I believe that something is a banking crisis in the EU. The clear signal is coming from Deutsche Bank (DB).

DB is the proverbial “canary in the coalmine” for Europe. Perched atop the largest derivatives book in Europe, DB has ties to most major financial institutions in the region.

Which is why as soon as DB starts nose-diving, you know something big is up.

DB shares are down 16% since September 15th and nearly 20% from September 9th. Put another way, this bank has lost a FIFTH of its market cap in less than two weeks.

Bear in mind, Deutsche Bank is considerably larger than Lehman Brothers. It’s derivatives book is 20 times German GDP.

And the long-term chart is VERY disturbing.

We believe the global markets are on the verge of another Crisis.

2008 was Round 1. This next round, Round 2, will be even worse.

Graham Summers

Chief Market Strategist

Phoenix Capital Research

Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Research, an independent investment research firm based in the Washington DC-metro area with clients in 56 countries around the world.

Graham’s clients include over 20,000 retail investors as well as strategists at some of the largest financial institutions in the world (Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Royal Bank of Scotland, UBS, and Raymond James to name a few). His views on business and investing has been featured in RollingStone magazine, The New York Post, CNN Money, Crain’s New York Business, the National Review, Thomson Reuters, the Glenn Beck Show and more.

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