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Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.


The Fed has taken extreme measures to kick start the economy.

First off let's go over the key cyclical points from today's action.  Yesterday gold broke above the cycle downtrend line, thus confirming August 7 as a daily cycle low.

Without a doubt, the recent weeks were tough for the U.S. currency. The U.S. dollar fell as investors weighed when the Federal Reserve would slow the pace of bond purchases that had contributed to weakening the greenback.

My first article is based our just-released Market Overview (monthly reports). It focuses on gold as an anti-inflation hedge, and why it is precisely a hedge against something else.

In April 2013, Japan announced a QE program of $1.4 trillion, an amount equal to roughly 25% of the Japanese GDP. To put this into perspective, the US’s QE1, QE 2, QE 3, and QE 4 programs which were spaced out over four years are an...

The commodity complex is famous for a sort of ‘Whack-a-Mole’ quality to it.  Do you remember back in the go-go days when it was NatGas (2005)?  Uranium (2007)?  Crude Oil (2008) and then a cluster of Copper (2011), Grains (2011) and...

I generally shy away from making time-specific economic and stock market predictions simply because they are extremely difficult to accurately pinpoint.

BE AWARE!!! – Poverty and Unemployment are here to stay and will impact on both us and our children.

While the S&P 500 Index has recently made new, all-time highs, a trio of indicators says we should be alert for market weakness.

In an election, it does not matter if voter turnout is high or low, the outcome is determined by the actual votes cast.  The same holds true for the markets.  Only those who make an actual buy or sell decision determine the outcome of...

It’s odd that somehow everything is starting to look so much better now than Angela Merkel is up for re-election in Germany.

With gold recouping some losses in its most recent trading sessions, many are asking whether or not the bottom has finally formed for the yellow metal.

Each of the last five years Wall Street pundits have predicted, and our government has promised, that a second half recovery in the economy will occur.  Since 2009, they have come up with different reasons why GDP would boom in Q3...

We continue to believe (a) tapering is about bubble management, and (b) the ba

Silver has suffered a miserable year so far, bludgeoned by gold’s unprecedented selling anomaly.  The exceptional weakness in both metals was greatly exacerbated by futures speculators piling on short-side bets.  But with silver shorts...

The marginal economic strength that was described in the most recent GDP release from Washington has caused many to double down on their belief that the Federal Reserve will begin tapering Quantitative Easing sometime later this year....

There is some evidence in the UK of a pick-up in consumer spending, probably echoed elsewhere. There are two likely factors behind this, the first perhaps being seasonal, aided by the fine weather.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s term as chairman of the Fed expires at the end of the year and President Obama has quite ungraciously indicated his intent to replace him, remarking that he had, “already stayed a lot longer than he wanted or...

According to most commentators, reducing monetary stimulus and winding down the balance sheet of the Fed without major economic disruptions is going to be a major challenge for US central bank policy makers.

If anyone thought that the US’s standard of living was all about how hard they worked, productivity gains and technology innovations to make modern life easier,  then they may not be blamed for living under the illusion that has

At present the US stock markets defy gravity either because: 1. The monthly $85bn Fed purchasing program; 2. The “improving” economy with 1.7% GDP growth for 2Q13 and bullish expectations for the remainder of the year; 3.

Why aren’t American’s flocking to precious metals?  Americans seem to have turned their backs on the shiny, precious insurance in favor of paper dollars and stocks of many sorts.  Why?

WHY IS THERE NO INFLATION?  -- Most economists, analysts, mavens of every sort and investors wonder why the Fed’s QE 1, 2,3 and 4  programs have NOT created any inflation to speak of and haven’t boosted the economy any m

Bears Calling For Another Top -- Since the S&P500 bottomed on June 24, the calls on Twitter for an imminent peak have been frequent.

People trying to manage trend changes are by definition fighting momentum, which feeds on an established trend with powerful force.  A premium service I use and otherwise depend upon for analysis of conventional US stocks and sectors (i...

Tonight I want to take an in depth look at the US dollar as it is so important to the overall big picture regarding the deflationary outlook that appears to be headed our way.

Performance – In the Dollar? -- In the U.S.

In our last editorial we presented bullet-proof evidence ( )  that the gold stocks had put in a major bottom.

Despite some positive data, the global economy is showing signs of slowing, a remarkable development in itself when you consider all the money printing and deficit spending that's transpired over the past few years.

When we take into account last week’s events, it seems that the yellow metal is more sensitive to signs of tapering than any other asset.

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Gold is widespread in low concentrations in all igneous rocks.

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