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Bear's Lair

Bear Markets always follow Bull markets and a severe stock market correction is long overdue. Bears Lair will spot, monitor and analyze the stock market correction as it develops.


We have used the ‘continuum’ (monthly chart of the 30 year yield) for years now to define tops in inflation expectations (red arrows at or around the EMA 100) and tops in deflationary fears (green arrows).

As a life-long Contrarian; these days I spend the vast majority of my reading/research time studying the bearish drivel on precious metals which emanates (in greater quantities than ever) from the Corporate Media.

Gold’s miserable 2013 has been devastating for gold stocks.  This sector, arguably the best performing over the 2000s, has quickly become the pariah of the markets.  And no group of gold stocks has seen more carnage than the junior...

After the Fed’s latest 2-day policy meeting it announced on Wednesday that it would continue its $85 billion per month asset purchase program.  The major indices fluctuated from positive to negative throughout the day, as is typical of...

Wednesday’s trading session featured a 32 point zig zag affair intraday that resulted in almost no change vs. Tuesday’s session when the final 4 p.m. whistle sounded.

Global investors are sitting at the edge of the computer keyboards cued to the upcoming FOMC meeting.

WASHINGTON - The Federal Reserve on Wednesday slightly downgraded its economic outlook but gave no hint about its plans for its $85 billion-a-month asset purchase program.

One of the most laughable of all government statistics is Gross Domestic Product or GDP.

Today we have mainstream news 24 hours a day but do you feel like you are being tricked or even lied to?  Do you wonder why you are hearing pabulum when the real meat is found online?

Amidst declining gold prices in 2013, some analysts have been quick to point to outflows from gold ETFs as evidence that the gold bull market is over.

Approximately a month ago, the Corporate Media began leaking bits-and-pieces of inf

The main reason that this year's huge decline in the gold-mining sector took us by surprise is that we didn't seriously consider the possibility that a major/primary correction began in September of 2011, and one of the main reasons we...

A major determinant for U.S. GDP growth is the state of the real estate sector. The construction of new homes contains only small section of the total picture.

The purpose of Fed money printing is to help support economic growth and job creation. The negative side effects can be rising inflation or asset bubbles. Therefore, from a logical perspective, the Fed would be interested in tapering if...

It is as notable as a 2nd term president handing off the big problems to the next guy, as George Bush did with Barack Obama in 2008; the changing of the guard at the Fed, that is.

One of the many tenets on Wall Street is that debt investors are often a step or two ahead of stock investors when it comes to identifying slowing economic growth. From a common sense perspective, it makes some sense.

The true Gold price is PP in the graph, while the phony price is P* since it is associated with supply shortage and excess demand.

Most commentators in the precious metals sector still are not treating hyperinflation as a likely scenario -- as “competitive devaluation” continues to relentlessly drive all of this paper to zero. I can prove this. How?

For the week, spot gold closed at $1,333.30, up $37.20 per ounce, or 2.87 percent. Gold stocks, as measured by the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, rose 6.68 percent. The U.S. Trade-Weighted Dollar Index lost 1.15 percent for the week.

It seems to be human nature to hear what one wants to hear and most advisors, so-called “analysts”, newsletter writers and commentators seem to feed people the popular line.  Why?

After tapering comments spooked the markets in May, Ben Bernanke spent weeks trying to jawbone the markets back into a calmer state. He was successful for the most part with the S&P 500 gaining 132 points off the June low.

What do tulips, Pet Rocks, Beanie Babies, Barbie Dolls, real estate, stock markets, and gold, have in common?

Frequently I receive emails from clients who ask variations on the theme of the QE-driven stock market in light of the long-term Kress cycles.  For instance, one client recently wrote: “I really like your work but lately am struggling...

In the weekly review, I referenced several news stories about JPMorgan.

The equity side of Wall Street coined the term great rotation to describe what they hoped would be a mass migration by investors from bonds to stocks. Many investors have not forgotten when the S&P 500 plunged 50%-plus (2007-2009...

As the Federal Reserve moves closer to tapering their monetary stimulus program, you can bet they are keeping an eye on developments in China.

I coined the term temporary backwardation in March of last year. This is what I said:

Yesterday was an impulsive looking move and something of a statement in itself. But now technically, the metals and miners need to gather themselves (after a potential pullback on profit taking) and make a real statement.

The PRICE OF GOLD eased back to $1330 per ounce Tuesday morning in London, dropping 0.7% from yesterday's 5-week highs as commodities slipped with major government bond prices.

As noted on July 15 ( ), our guess is the tapering dialogue at the Fed is more about escalating fears of another round of asset bubbles rather than confidence in...

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One cubic foot of gold weighs more than half a ton (1,306 pounds).

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