Gold Editorials & Commentary

On average, every quarter we are exposed to yet another price guidance by a mainstream analyst. Such analysts usually reside within a large investment bank. These calls become focal points for a sector and often seem to carry with them some form of self-fulfilling...

I am often asked whether or not western governments are likely to confiscate gold, and my answer has invariably been on the lines of "unlikely at the moment, because so few people own gold". However given low stock levels in western vaults and that bail-ins are on...

The Fed minutes were dovish and this helped push Gold above $1310 to $1320. However, the miners, which usually lead the metals did little to confirm the rise. In fact, the miners have been relatively weak in recent days and had a bearish reversal on Thursday. Their...

This is a picture of the “Velocity of Money” (US M2). In many respects, this is not a pretty picture. I suppose nothing that has been falling for upwards of 16 years can be considered a sound investment. The velocity of money has broken lows set upwards of 50 years...

Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the market the gold price and junior resource stocks drop and nervous traders declare the sky is falling yet again. I’m not thrilled by the market action of the past two or three weeks but I also don’t think the...

For decades many of us in the hard money world have speculated that cloak and dagger activity by large financial interests has played a large role in determining performance in the gold market. The focus of this alleged manipulation is believed to be in the London...

The Federal Reserve has done everything, in its power, to keep interest rates down longer than ever before to help the economy, but it has not helped. In fact one could argue that the Fed’s tricks have in fact slowed the recovery.

For the past couple of years the European Central Bank has been the only sane inmate in the asylum. Unfortunately, in a crazy world being sane just gets you into trouble. Sound monetary policy leads to a strong currency, which in a currency war is tantamount to...

At the end of every month, I review the performance of my investment portfolio and so should you. In February my holdings gained 12.87%. Year to date (January and February, 2014) my investment portfolio has appreciated by 46%.

There is a stark difference between the states of the markets for the monetary metals. The number of open futures contracts in gold is low, while in silver it’s high. First, let’s look at the data and then we’ll discuss what it means.

A global clash of nations is underway in full gear. The storm is picking up speed, power, intensity, and damaging force. Many are the swirls of the current situation. A hodgepodge of topics have been caught and trapped, best to discharge on paper, the effect like a...

Next month marks the 3-year anniversary of the bear market in silver that started in May 2011. Later this summer we will hit the 3-year anniversaries of the bear markets in gold and gold stocks. We are now psychologically conditioned for pain and punishment in the...

If you are convincingly irrational the market may expect extreme measures and front run your bluff. It’s in this spirit that ECB President Draghi is threatening the market with another bazooka. We discuss implications for investors.

With economies slowing down in China, Japan, Eastern Europe and other regions of the globe, many investors wonder if 2014 will deliver another global deflationary epidemic. As I’ll explain in this commentary, the next six months has the potential to be the most...

A week ago, gold had fallen to about $1277, and many investors and analysts turned bearish there. In contrast, I suggested that the Western gold community should focus on the potential for immediate upside price action.

Hedge yourself against Geopolitical Tensions and Expansionary Monetary Policies of Central Banks with Gold

The 3rd annual Dubai Precious Metals Conference came to a gloomy conclusion yesterday with participants voting for very little or no advance in the gold price this year after a lengthy panel debate between four experts, three of whom saw gold prices falling further...

Based on questions, opinions, and rants from several websites, these are some typical questions and my answers:

After two hard days down in the stock market I'm going to take a contrary position and say that this is just a normal profit taking event and that stocks are going to recover and head back up to new highs. I still think this market needs to have a final blow off...

The gold bull is just taking a giant breather during a very long bull market, which is the good news. To prove this correction is now a ‘bear’ market, gold would have to trade under the 2008 low and I strongly suggest this is unlikely. With the first gold leg...

The Miners Index has made a perfect Domed House and Three Peaks Chart Pattern. This pattern, discovered by a stock market analyst, George Lindsay, can be found in multiple timeframes. On the following charts you can see the model of the Lindsay’s Domed House and...

Recently I visited the breathtaking city of Hong Kong to speak at the seventh-annual Mines and Money conference, Asia-Pacific’s premier event for mining investment deal-making and capital-raising. During my time in Asia I had the additional privilege of addressing...

I have been revisiting estimates of the quantities of gold being absorbed by China, and yet again I have had to revise them upwards. Analysis of the detail discovered in historic information in the context of China's gold strategy has allowed me for the first time...

Think you could make it in business with a trillion dollar subsidy? That’s a very conservative estimate of what banks can borrow each year at almost no cost, courtesy of Fed easing. Returning the favor, the banks plow the funny money into Treasury paper, stocks and...

Gold's drop last month was, in part, thanks to comments from Yellen that the FOMC would look at raising interest rates by 2015, due to the economic recovery. The poor jobs data on Friday seemed to put this into question and sent gold for its biggest one day jump in...

We’re going to do something a little different for the Weekend Report this week. I would like to give the spotlight to Sir Plunger for his most excellent work on the Phase 3 for the PM stocks bear market. It deserves to be read by the members of Rambus Chartology...

On Friday, SPX tried to move through the top of its consolidation pattern and failed! This brought about a wave of selling which, by the end of the day, had created a key reversal. This type of pattern often signals the end of a trend and the beginning of a...

QE-3 began in September 2012 with the Federal Reserve committing itself to the purchase of $85 billion dollars a month of US Treasury bonds and illiquid mortgages from its favorite financial institutions – the big NY banks. And why not? They own the Federal...

Markets remained weak and choppy as we build out a base. we really only saw very quick opportunities or no more than 3 days of trend. It’s not an easy market, or one for the feint of heart and that’s why we’ve been in cash for weeks now as we wait for the easy...

Being successful in trading has a lot to do with finding the developing “story” behind the price structure of a market. We had good results in February because we keyed into some very important pieces of market information that would lead to a likely result for the...