first majestic silver

Gold Price Up 3.5% In August…Stocks Fall 6% to 12%

Executive & Research Director @ GoldCore
September 1, 2015

Gold was marginally higher yesterday and closed at $1135.50 per ounce, up $1.10. Silver was 0.3% higher and closed at $14.64 per ounce.

Gold price rose 4% in August as stocks globally saw sharp falls on growing concerns about the Chinese and the global economy.  Silver was 1% lower for the month of August and also acted as a hedge from falling stock markets globally.

Asset Performance in August – Finviz.com

internationally, stocks had their worst month in the last three years. In one of the most volatile trading periods since the financial crisis, August saw $5.7 trillion erased from the value of stocks worldwide and no major stock market was left unscathed.

The S&P 500 was down a significant 6.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended the month 6.6% lower, while the Nasdaq was down 6.9%. At one stage losses were much higher but a sharp bounce toward the end of the month meant the declines were that as bad as they looked like they would be.

The weak performance of equity markets in August was mirrored across the world’s major financial centres, with the FTSE down 6.7%. The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index recorded a monthly loss of 9% – its worst monthly performance since August 2011.

Gold in USD – 30 days

Germany’s DAX was down 9% and posted its worst monthly performance since August 2011. The DAX is currently some 17% below a record high reached in April.

Asian stock markets closed their worst monthly performance in more than three years in August, as shares struggled to recover from a global selloff sparked by worries about China, the Fed and the global economy.

A slowdown in China’s economy, magnified by a surprise devaluation of the Chinese yuan earlier this month, accelerated a rout in Shanghai that spread across the globe, pushing down everything from stocks in the U.S. and Europe, to commodities and emerging market-currencies.

The Nikkei 225 down 8.2% – its biggest monthly decline since January 2014.

The Shanghai Composite Index ended down 12.5% , its third straight month of declines, and a close runner-up to July’s 14% loss, which was the index’s biggest monthly drop since August 2009.

India’s Sensex was down 6.5% in August.

The losses were broad-based as nine out of the 10 S&P sectors in the U.S. fell. Energy stocks were the sole gainers and interestingly oil prices have surged for a third straight day after the OPEC indicated they are prepared to discuss production levels. U.S. benchmark crude surged 8.8% to $49.20 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil has surged 27% in just three days.

Today came further evidence of a global slowdown when factory gauges from France, Norway and Russia signaled contractions before data from the U.S. that economists predict will show slower growth

Gold served its function as a safe haven in August, rising strongly in the major currencies. Importantly, from a technical perspective gold recorded a monthly higher close which should see ‘trend following’ momentum traders and speculators begin to add to long positions and “to make the trend their friend”.

The ‘Fall’ and September and October can be the ‘cruelest’ months for stocks. Conversely, more years than not, precious metals prices perform well in September and the autumn period. Safe haven demand for bullion internationally remains robust and Indian festival seasonal demand looks set to be healthy as does Chinese New Year demand later in the autumn.

Given the very uncertain financial and economic outlook, it is important that investors remain diversified with healthy allocations to gold.

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Courtesy of http://www.goldcore.com/

Mark O'Byrne is executive and research director of www.GoldCore.com which he founded in 2003. GoldCore have become one of the leading gold brokers in the world and have over 4,000 clients in over 40 countries and with over $200 million in assets under management and storage.We offer mass affluent, HNW, UHNW and institutional investors including family offices, gold, silver, platinum and palladium bullion in London, Zurich, Singapore, Hong Kong, Dubai and Perth. 


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