HOW BAD CAN THINGS GET? Pretty damn bad. Which means that it will likely be much worse than most of us can imagine. Other than Covid and its forced shutdown of economic activity by governments world-wide, the most recent learning...
The price of gold closed at $2578 oz. on Friday. As has been the case for most of this year, the financial media, particularly the gold space, treated us to a barrage of headlines regarding "new, all-time highs" for the yellow metal. It...
No amount of wishful thinking and baseless proclamations will change that. Owning gold stocks (miners) instead of the actual physical metal (in other words, processed and refined with appropriate hallmarks and in tradable form) is a losing...
The bond market seems convinced that interest rates are headed lower for now. The chart (source) below shows the price action for TLT (iShares Long-term Treasury Bond ETF) over the past seven days…
Has anybody considered what might happen after a rate cut is announced? If the Fed signals a change in direction regarding interest rate policy, as expected by most observers at this point, does that also signal an end to increasing...
The latest gold charts are pictured below and show a series of descending price peaks dating back to 1980. There are four charts. The first two charts are for the period following the August 2011 peak. The third and fourth charts are for...
Jerome Powell says “rates will be higher”. I believe him. I don’t think most others do. Investors, especially, need to pay attention.
The anticipation and speculation regarding interest rate cuts is almost comical to watch. Scratch ‘almost’. Interested observers are obsessive about the topic in a hilariously funny way. Mainstream media and the pundits always find cause...
The Federal Reserve recently reported the results of its annual economic stress tests for banks. The test supposedly indicates how banks can be expected “to perform under certain hypothetical economic conditions.”
We can see on the chart that the annual CPI rate is under 5% almost eighty percent of the time and that prices actually dropped about ten percent of the time (red years 1920’s, 1930’s). The potential for volatility increases, though,...