In our opinion speculative long positions (full) in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective. The precious metals market finally rallied yesterday. Gold moved lower in the first hours of the session, getting very close to the Dec...
Gold Editorials & Commentary
October 7, 2014
Gold-bearish Western bank economists are very lucky. They can gleefully ignore Indian black market imports in their assessment of demand and supply, and nobody questions them.
October 6, 2014
We are getting clear signals from the “smart money” that something bad is looming on the horizon. The most obvious signal comes from the ultra-wealthy (those worth $20 million or more) who are rapidly moving out of paper assets and into real assets.
John LaForge, commodities strategist at Ned Davis Research says gold is going to $660 an ounce. In an appearance on CNBC on Thursday, LaForge said that the end of the current “supercycle” for gold could push the precious metal down to $660 an ounce, or about 40%...
In the wake of his rock star reception at Madison Square Garden last Sunday, Prime Minister Narendra Modi emphatically announced to our nation’s top corporate and political leaders that India is now open for business. Between September 26 and 30, he met with not...
Jim Grant is the publisher and editor of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer, a bi-monthly newsletter that he founded in 1983, around the time when bonds were considered some of the worst investments – when they yielded 13 to 15 percent.
Politics has long been a driver of international markets and fickle financial systems alike. Everything is connected. Here are some voices from the just-concluded Casey Research Fall Summit talking about cause, effect, and war.
Gary Savage is an expert cycle trader and publisher of a successful market newsletter. His writings strongly influenced my own shift toward cycle methodology many years ago, and although our approaches now differ to a degree, the core techniques of cycle methodology...
How much higher can the dollar go? Betting on the Fed’s paper has been one helluva speculation. No doubt the Fed’s credit quality has been falling, but powerful forces are driving it up, such as desperate debtors clutching for cash to calm their creditors (sorry,...
This is Cap’n Ron receiving a message from Mother Nature’s special courier. He is telling me that Mother Nature said, “Follow the Long Term Gold Trend. The bottom is almost here. The entire precious metals complex will follow gold.” As he turned around and left to...
Some of the most prestigious world banks are hell bent for leather heading toward bankruptcy…as implied by their negative stock “performance” since early 2007. The ignoble list includes Commerzbank (Germany) , Deutsche Bank (Germany), Barclays Bank (UK), Bank of...
October 5, 2014
Friday’s rally in the strongest indices has created a cloud of uncertainty as to whether or not the SPX has started an intermediate decline. However, the strong rally was not shared by the weaker indices, some of which even failed to retrace .382 of their recent...
So what is a Hindenburg Omen? It is the alignment of several technical factors that measure the underlying condition of the stock market — specifically the NYSE — such that the probability that a stock market crash occurs is higher than normal, and the probability...
Now that oil has made a lower intermediate low warning bells are ringing that the commodity complex has more than likely begun the move down into its three-year cycle low. That bottom isn’t due until May or June of next year at the earliest.
On Wednesday, October 1st the stock market was experiencing a little selling pressure. There was some concern with CNBC’s talking heads that a market correction could be imminent. Well that could be, but so far the chart below shows no indication of any market...
October 4, 2014
Through September 30, the $US gold price declined 6%, after giving up much of the stronger gains that had been achieved through most of the year. The recent bout of weakness began in late August and coincided with the breakdown of the Yen and the Euro vs. the US...
Markets and many stocks continued to consolidate and correct, but we did see a decent sign that a low may be in Thursday and Friday. I never really expected this correction to be very deep and so far it hasn’t been. I also expected this correction to run until...
Without question, the least understood, least visible force that affects almost everyone’s lives, certainly in the Western world, is that of the elites, the moneychangers, the relative handful that controls everything, from the BIS, IMF, and down to the central...
Some folks have been watching the dollar rising sharply in disbelief during the past few weeks, which is not friendly to the metals. No surprise to us as we noted the double bottom is USD is 2011 as gold peaked at the same time.
October 3, 2014
In 2012, ECB President Mario Draghi, pulled the EU back from the brink of collapse by promising to do “whatever it takes” in the summer of 2012. Since making that promise, the two biggest problem countries for the EU, Spain and Italy, have both seen the yields on...
Gold has broken below $1200 this morning in what should begin the final breakdown. In weekly and monthly terms $1200 was the remaining support. Sure Gold could bounce from $1180 but todays breakdown is more significant. Both metals are now in breakdown mode while...
Yesterday, I launched a new website and announced the rebranding of my gold bullion dealer from Euro Pacific Precious Metals to SchiffGold. I started this company four years ago to provide a trustworthy option for my Euro Pacific Capital brokerage clients, but it...
DOW Shooting Star, Gold, Silver, GDX vs GLD & GDXJ vs GDX Analysis via videos.
Nevada is well known as the United States’ top gold-mining jurisdiction. The numerous mines within its massive gold trends combined to produce a whopping 5.4m ounces in 2013, which accounted for 74% of total domestic output. This output ranks Nevada as the world’s...
The current U.S. bond market faces a "liquidity cliff" and looks like an asset "bubble" that could burst when interest rates start to rise, according to the senior U.S. securities regulator. This is something we have been warning of in recent months.
If there is one concept that illustrates the difference between a top-down macro-economic approach and the reality of everyday life it is the velocity of circulation of money.
October 2, 2014
The US$ has been soaring. Since making a low in May 2014 just under 79 the US$ Index has jumped almost 9% to over 86. If the US$ is rising other currencies must be falling. The Euro has lost almost 10%, the Japanese Yen has fallen 7%, and, the British Pound has lost...
In February of 2013 we noted the big fat HEAD on the HUI’s massive H&S pattern. It was reviewed again in April of 2013 after it broke the neckline in a very bearish move. Mr. Fat Head’s technical objective was and is 100.
The 2008 crisis was just a warm-up. The 2008 crisis was a banking and equities crisis. In the simplest terms, investment banks, leveraged to the hilt with garbage mortgage derivatives, became insolvent and began to collapse.
For the last two months, and especially the month of September, I’ve been trying to prep you for the impulse move that we currently find ourselves in right now. You don’t have to wait any longer wondering when it’s going to begin. We’ve been in this impulse move...
