Commodities were on mostly sound footing in the first half of 2019. The S&P GSCI returned more than 13 percent as of June 30, one of the best first six months in recent memory. It was not without its challenges, though.

Europe has found a way of circumventing U.S. sanctions on Iran. The governments of France, Germany and the United Kingdom have developed a special purpose vehicle (SPV) to enable European businesses to maintain non-dollar trade with Iran without breaking U.S....

It’s the ultimate “no-brainer” that serious American GDP growth (in the 6% range or higher) can only happen by eliminating the PIT (personal income tax) for the middle class.

The best performing metal this week was platinum, up 2.46 percent. The yellow metal jumped on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments spurred bets on a cut in interest rates later this month. Powell said concerns over trade and global...

The federal government will soon run up against its self-imposed borrowing cap once again. Current estimates are for the government to max out its credit limit at a little over $22 trillion in early September. Congress goes on recess in August, so there is some...

Gold is moving higher and steadily so. It’s hold north of $1,400 is impressive and worrying at the same time. We have seen record flows of late, with long term safe haven demand rising a pace. It was Germany last week and China this week, the flow of disappointing...

The market is now at record highs, and unemployment is way down. Even so, a U.S. rate cut is expected as early as this week. During his congressional testimony last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell raised concerns over slower global growth and trade...

Gold stocks just ended the week at a new 2019 high, while gold confirmed its breakdown in the most important – weekly closing price – terms. Who should one believe? Are gold miners leading gold higher just like it was the case many times, or “this time is different...

Gold and gold stocks especially continue to shrug off bits and pieces of bad news. No escalation in the trade war? The selloff lasted one day and the sector rebounded strongly the following day. Strong headline jobs number? Again, the weakness was a buying...

Last week, we looked at the idea of a national balance sheet, as a better way to measure the economy than GDP (which is production + destruction). The national balance sheet would take into account both assets and liabilities. If we take on another $1,000,000 debt...

I can no longer count how many times I have been told that “squiggly lines cannot predict the market.” Yet, anyone who has tracked us over the long term knows how successful we have been at predicting many major market turns and targets with these “squiggly lines.”...

Gold has exploded higher over the past few months, but how high can gold really go? Gold has exploded higher over the past few months, but how high can gold go? Not a day goes by, without hearing about "buy gold".

Dovish statements from global central banks recently aren’t the only reason for gold’s rise past $1,400 an ounce this week to levels it hasn’t seen in nearly six years.

The past year or and more have seen some strange behaviour by global weather. Countries in the southern hemisphere have endured extended drought while the northern hemisphere suffered weather extremes – extreme and often non-seasonal heat and cold.

A major stock market top is imminent. Let’s take a look at several pattern charts and other evidence warning the next strong stock market decline is fast approaching.

Now don't take that title too negatively: 'tis nothing short of marvelous to finally find Gold well up and away from The Box (1280-1240) which had been its centerpiece trading area for the last six years, let alone just four weeks ago having reclaimed Base Camp 1377...

During a week in which the head of the Federal Reserve explicitly downplayed the USA’s return to the Gold Standard, we spoke with longtime commodity trader, Vince Lance of Echobay Partners.

How likely is a recession in the United States? Predicting a recession is difficult, but one can make some nice money with a good forecast. Consequently, we invite you to read our today’s article, which discusses the most important recessionary models developed by...

Chairman Powell’s testimony this week was closely scrutinized not just for its economic implications but also for its political overtones. Powell cited “trade tensions” as cause for concern about the strength of the global economy. He clearly seemed to be blaming...

Gold surged dramatically in recent weeks, powering higher to a decisive bull-market breakout. Gold’s first major secular highs in years have really improved sentiment, with bullishness mounting. But gold-futures buying fuel is largely exhausted, after the colossal...