Arkadiusz Sieroń
Investment Advisor & Author @ Sunshine Profits
Arkadiusz Sieroń received his Ph.D. in economics in 2016 (his doctoral thesis was about Cantillon effects), and has been an assistant professor at the Institute of Economic Sciences at the University of Wrocław since 2017. He is a board member of the Polish Mises Institute of Economic Education, author of several dozen scientific publications (including in such periodicals as the Journal of Risk Research, Prague Economic Papers, Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics, and Research in Economics), and a regular contributor to GoldPriceForecast.com and SilverPriceForecast.com. His two books, Money, Inflation and Business Cycles and Monetary Policy after the Great Recession, are both published by Routledge. Arkadiusz is also a certified Investment Adviser, a long-time precious metals market enthusiast, and a free market advocate who believes in the power of peaceful and voluntary cooperation of people.
Arkadiusz Sieroń Articles
Some analysts expect that the 2016 will be about inflation. They argue that the low inflation in 2015 was caused by a plunge in commodity prices. But the potential for further declines is limited, so we can expect inflation. Actually,...
The US dollar has appreciated more than 1.7 percent against the euro this year so far. Despite this appreciation, the London P.M. spot price of the shiny metal has risen 3.4 percent in January so far. It means that other factors have to...
Markets do not expect any big moves by the Fed. The odds for an interest rate hike in January are only 11.9 percent. Therefore, the U.S. central bankers are widely expected to leave the federal funds rate unchanged at 0.25-0.50 percent.
The January ECB Meeting is behind us. As expected, the Governing Council left the interest rates unchanged. In his introductory statement to the press conference, Mario Draghi pointed out: “downside risks have increased again amid...
Yesterday, gold pushed above $1100 on safe-haven demand. The slowdown in the Chinese and U.S. economies, a weaker global growth outlook from the IMF in general, a slide in oil prices (which indicates a shrinking global economy) and...
In 2015, over 17 million new vehicles were sold in the U.S., the highest number in history. However, on a monthly basis, sales peaked in October. Seasonally-adjusted sales in December dropped by nearly 1 million (see the chart below)....
The Union Bank of Switzerland (UBS) warned investors that the seven-year cycle in equities is rolling over. So, UBS recommends buying gold, as its price is likely to bottom in 2016.
The last economic reports are really awful. First, December retail sales declined 0.1 percent. Please remember that December is usually strong due to last minute Christmas sales. Not in 2015. Moreover, ex-auto sales also fell 0.1 percent,...
India is the largest consumer of gold in the world, accounting for around 26 percent of demand in 2015. Since India does not produce any gold, the country has to import all the yellow metal. In order to stop the outflow of foreign currency...
Similarly to what we did yesterday, the WGC pointed out that the gold was down in 2015 in the U.S. dollars, but not in all currencies. It also wrote: “more than 90% of physical demand coming from outside the US, primarily from emerging...
